Don't get washed out, hold on tight, epic twists! Why did BTC surge to $105,000 despite the Fed not cutting interest rates and geopolitical ceasefires?
The Fed's stance: The May meeting's decision to 'stay put' was expected, but the market has already priced in the bad news, with BTC firmly standing above $100,000! Standard Chartered predicts an end-of-year target price of $200,000, the technical MACD golden cross is confirmed, and bullish signals are at maximum!
Geopolitical black swan fading: India-Pakistan and Russia-Ukraine ceasefires simultaneously, are safe-haven sentiments cooling? But historical data contradicts this—under easing liquidity logic, BTC has previously been favored due to easing geopolitical conflicts! Is this a turnaround for 'risk assets' or a loss of favor for 'digital gold'?
Key game: Short-term view at $120,000: Breaking the monthly descending channel + pullback range ($101,000-$102,000) could become a good opportunity to increase positions;
Risks still exist: If the Fed turns hawkish (higher for longer) or geopolitical tensions rise again, gold and the dollar may divert funds.
Soul-searching questions:
→ Is geopolitical easing a bullish or bearish factor?
→ Can the Fed's 'dovish turn' sustain the bull market?
→ Is $120,000 a starting point or an endpoint?
**Comments section battle**! Is your BTC holding strategy 'sticking it out' or 'guerrilla'?
(Data source: Standard Chartered Bank, Binance, OSL Research)
