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BTC Heatmap Signals Key Battle Ahead – Are We Building for a Breakout? Alright #Bitcoin fam, let's get into the granular details with this BTCUSDT Liquidity / OrderBook Heatmap from Coinglass! This visual gives us a powerful look at where the big orders are sitting, and the current setup points to a fascinating scenario for a potential move up. Here's the Most Probable Optimistic Scenario Unpacking! 🔥 CURRENT PRICE BUILDING ON MASSIVE LIQUIDITY BASE (~$117,000 - $117,500): The heatmap shows an incredibly dense cluster of orders (bright yellow/green) right around BTC's current trading range. This acts as a formidable liquidity magnet and a strong base of support. Price has been consolidating around this level for days, effectively 'filling' orders and building strength. 🚀 THE PATH TO $120,000+ IS CLEARING: Above the current consolidation, the primary resistance zone is clearly visible around $120,000 - $121,000. While strong, once this critical supply is absorbed, the heatmap shows thinner liquidity zones immediately above it. This means if bulls successfully push through that $120K-$121K hurdle, the path above becomes less congested for rapid acceleration. 🎯 NEXT MAJOR RESISTANCE TARGET: ~$122,000 - $122,500! If the $120K-$121K barrier is broken, the heatmap indicates the next significant cluster of sell orders/resistance is around $122,000 to $122,500. This would be the immediate next major target for bulls, or a potential profit-taking zone, as seen on this chart. What this means for the market in the best-case: The current tight consolidation around a strong liquidity base suggests accumulation. If buyers can chew through the supply at $120K-$121K, the market structure implies less friction for a rapid move higher towards $122,000 - $122,500! We're watching for that crucial break! Keep your charts open and eyes on those liquidity walls!
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BULLISH BTC Signals Brewing? CME Data Points to Potential Squeeze! Alright #Bitcoin fam, let's zoom in on the latest CME Futures data from Coinglass! If you're looking for reasons to be bullish, the positioning of major players paints an exciting picture. Here's the best-case scenario developing from these reports: 🚀 INSTITUTIONAL ACCUMULATION IS ON! Asset Managers (Institutions): These heavyweights are consistently Net LONG on BTC. We've seen a clear surge in their long positions since late 2023/early 2024, and they're holding firm. This is pure, unadulterated institutional conviction, suggesting smart money is seeing long-term value and is accumulating. Their consistent buying could provide a strong foundation for future pumps! 💥 THE STAGE IS SET FOR A SHORT SQUEEZE! Leveraged Funds (Speculators): This is where it gets interesting for the bulls. These funds are overwhelmingly Net SHORT on BTC. Their short positions have been significantly high since early 2023, peaking in early 2024. High Liquidation Potential: The sheer volume of these leveraged short positions means they are highly vulnerable to upward price movements. If Bitcoin starts climbing, these shorts will be forced to cover (buy back BTC), creating a cascading effect. This is the recipe for a MASSIVE SHORT SQUEEZE, fueling an aggressive pump! What this means for the market in the best-case scenario: The stage is perfectly set for institutional buying power to clash with speculative short interest. If the institutional longs continue their accumulation, or if any positive catalyst emerges, the large pool of leveraged shorts could become the rocket fuel for Bitcoin's next major leg up. Conclusion: When institutions are accumulating and speculators are heavily short, it often sets up powerful upward movements. Keep your eyes peeled for a potential squeeze!
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📊 Deep Dive: Bitcoin's Quarterly Performance & What's Next? Let's break down Bitcoin's historical quarterly returns from Coinglass to spot some patterns! Key Observations from the Data: Q4 Dominance: Historically, Q4 stands out as Bitcoin's strongest quarter. Average Q4 Return: A staggering +85.42% Median Q4 Return: A robust +52.3% Notable Q4s: +479.59% (2013), +215.07% (2017), +168.02% (2020), +47.73% (2023). This consistent strength in year-end performance is a significant pattern. Volatile Q1s & Q2s: These quarters are a mixed bag with some of the biggest gains AND biggest losses. Massive Gains: Q1 2013 (+539.96%), Q2 2019 (+159.36%), Q2 2017 (+123.86%), Q1 2021 (+103.17%). Sharp Dips: Q1 2018 (-49.7%), Q2 2022 (-56.2%), Q1 2015 (-24.14%). 2025 So Far (as of Q3): Q1 2025: -11.82% (Red) Q2 2025: +29.74% (Green) Q3 2025: +9.17% (Green) - Currently, it's July 13, 2025, meaning we're well into Q3 and already seeing positive returns. Analyzing "What's Next" based on Patterns: Given that we are currently in Q3 (already green at +9.17%) and approaching the historically strong Q4, patterns suggest: Continued Strength in Q3: The current +9.17% is positive, aligning with Q3's average of +6.27% and median of +0.96%. There's potential for this Q3 to finish strong. High Expectations for Q4: Following the historical trend, Q4 is statistically the most bullish quarter. Based on past performance, an average gain of +85.42% or a median gain of +52.3% could be expected for Bitcoin in Q4 2025 if history rhymes. Conclusion: While past performance is no guarantee of future results, the data points to a historically strong second half of the year for Bitcoin. Keep an eye on those charts!
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📊 Technical Analysis: Altseason Setup in Progress — A Dominance Breakdown 🧠 🔸 Observation: BTC Price (🟡) has surged sharply since Jan, while Altcoin Dominance (Top 10, Top 50, Top 100 — excluding BTC & ETH) continues a downward trend. 🔸 Interpretation: This pattern typically indicates capital concentration into Bitcoin — a classic liquidity phase before rotation into altcoins begins. 🔸 Key Technical Signals: BTC dominance is nearing a local resistance zone (as seen from repeated past rejections at this level). Alt dominance (especially Top 100) is approaching support levels where historical bounces triggered mini altseasons. Volume profile in the lower dominance zone suggests potential accumulation in alts. 🔸 Macro Setup: BTC-led rallies historically precede altcoin rallies by 2–6 weeks. We’re seeing early signs of momentum divergence between BTC dominance and altcoin dominance — a precursor to trend reversal. 📉 TL;DR: Alt Dominance compressing → BTC dominance peaking → Altseason likely next. Positioning early is key. 🧠 Strategy: Monitor BTC dominance reversal confirmation Look for strength in Top 50 altcoins first (they usually lead the rally) Set alerts on volume + dominance breakout for confirmation 📅 Altseason doesn’t shout — it whispers. And right now… the dominance chart is whispering loud 🔥 #BTCdominance #AltSeasonComing #marsnext
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🚨 “Bitcoin is overpriced!” they scream… But the data says otherwise. 📊 Here’s why BTC still has massive upside — backed by 9+ years of market cycle logic: 🧠 👇 1️⃣ The Golden Ratio Multiplier is a long-term model that uses the 350-day moving average (350DMA) multiplied by key Fibonacci ratios (1.6, 3, 5, 8, etc.) 🧮 These levels have historically predicted: 🔺 Intracycle tops 🔻 Macro bull market peaks 2️⃣ Each cycle, Bitcoin’s blow-off tops hit lower Fibonacci multiples of the 350DMA — a sign of adoption curve maturity 📉 Why? As Bitcoin grows, so does its market cap → less room for explosive growth on the log scale. 3️⃣ Right now, BTC is well below the 350DMA × 3 level — historically a zone for major peaks 🚀 ⚠️ Translation: We're not overheated... We're mid-cycle at best. 4️⃣ Those shouting “overvalued” are ignoring the math behind Bitcoin’s market behavior over the last decade. The chart doesn’t lie. 📈 Bitcoin has room to grow — and this model says the real top is still far ahead. 5️⃣ If the pattern holds, the next major cycle top could happen around the 350DMA x3 line — and we’re not there yet. 💡 Smart money watches cycle structure. 📉 Noise says "top" — structure says "not yet." #BTC #GoldenRatioMultiplier #MarsNext
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