#交易故事 #交易经验

【Wyckoff Cycle Sentiment Trading Method: Reverse Position Activated When VIX Breaks 35】

When the VIX Fear Index surges over 20% in a single day + MACD histogram shows a bottom divergence, place a buy order below VWAP at 1.5 times ATR. During the oil crash in November 2023, the exchange's open interest sharply decreased by 32% along with RSI staying below 25 for four consecutive days, followed by a rebound of 6.8% the next day. Core Logic: Extreme sentiment accelerates trend exhaustion, and a long lower shadow with high volume acts as a reversal catalyst. Positioning Strategy: Initial position 1%, increase by 0.5% for each new high breakout up to a total position of 3%, take profit when volatility (ATR) rebounds by 50%. Historical backtesting shows that when VIX > 35, reverse operations have a win rate 23% higher than the average, but remember: it is discipline, not the market itself, that always harvests the greedy.