Power Struggle: The Invisible Clash Between the Federal Reserve and the White House

(1) Powell's Uncharacteristically Tough Stance

Publicly refusing to cut interest rates and denying private communication with Trump, suggesting political pressure exists. Historically, presidential interventions in the Federal Reserve are often accompanied by significant policy shifts, and the current interest rate decision has evolved into a battleground between establishment forces and populist movements.

(2) The Capital Code Behind the Sudden Shift in Chip Policy

Trump's lifting of the ban boosted Nvidia's stock price, countering the Federal Reserve's policies. This combination of "tech deregulation + monetary tightening" primarily serves electoral politics, involving interests exchanges between tech giants and Wall Street.

II. Market Anomalies: The Death Dance of BTC

(1) Four-Hour Chart Reveals Manipulation Traces

Trading volume surged by 300% in the 15 minutes before the meeting, with major players creating a false sense of liquidity through high-frequency trading. The daily chart shows a triple top pattern combined with RSI divergence, with similar patterns in the past three years averaging a 28% drop.

(2) The Fatal Chain of Policy Transmission

The US dollar index shows a -0.82 strong negative correlation with BTC, as tariff disputes boost the dollar and suppress risk assets. Open interest in CME futures surged by 47%, but the funding rate is negative, revealing a dual kill strategy by institutions.

III. Capital Traps: The Three Major Illusions of Retail Investors

(1) The "Bad News Fully Priced In" Scam

Statistics show that during the Federal Reserve's tough cycle, BTC has averaged a 14.3% drop after policy announcements. The current market volatility index (BVOL) has fallen below a key support level, with 62% of institutions having initiated hedging strategies.

(2) The "Technical Divergence" Smoke Screen

MACD divergence occurs alongside shrinking volume, and the Grayscale GBTC premium dropping to zero indicates traditional capital withdrawal. Mysterious purchases in the OTC market are actually policy arbitrage by Asian offshore funds, not a long-term bullish signal.

(3) The "Immune System" Illusion

The Fear and Greed Index consistently >90 reaches extreme bubble territory, and the market's dull response to bad news is characteristic of a top. Major players lure technical traders into buying at critical points (such as daily central points).

Warning: When policy battles become public, 98% of retail investors have become hedge chips for institutions. Historical data shows that in election years when the Federal Reserve's policies swing, the amount of liquidations in the crypto market averages 5.7 times larger. Remember: A bull market is a process, a bear market is a result; if you can't protect your principal, everything goes to zero.

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