#BTC Market Update | Beware of 'Expectation Gap' Risks at the 100,000 Threshold

📌 Key Drivers:

✅ Sudden Positive News: Trump's team will announce progress on the tariff agreement tonight at 22:00, interpreted by the market as a signal for easing international trade relations.

✅ Policy Interconnection: The tariff agreement may alleviate pressure on the Federal Reserve (Powell previously indicated that high tariffs could delay interest rate cuts until 2026).

🔥 Technical Logic:

▶️ Bullish Advantage: After breaking 98,000, there is a vacuum of resistance above, allowing a small amount of capital to push up the coin price.

▶️ Bears Temporarily Avoid: Coupled with Trump's speech at 1:45 AM and the Federal Reserve's interest rate decision at 2:00 AM, large funds are choosing to wait and see.

⚠️ Hidden Risk Points:

❗️ Dual Expectation Game: If the actual policy strength is less than market expectations, the 100,000 threshold could become a turning point between bulls and bears.

❗️ Sensitive Time Window: Major events are concentrated for release (in the next 5 hours), and volatility may increase exponentially.

💡 Operation Suggestions:

✨ Maintain current positions and avoid blindly chasing highs.

✨ Set automatic take profit/stop-loss orders (recommended range 98,500-100,500).

✨ Focus on observing the three key time nodes: 22:00/1:45/2:00.

🔔 Friendly Reminder: The policy market is highly volatile, and it is recommended for beginners to maintain a cash position of over 30%, waiting for the market to choose a direction before making arrangements. #比特币预测 #BTC交易 #美联储决议