The big cake rises while Ethereum and altcoins do not; it is clear that there is no capital flowing in. The rise of the big cake is just capitalists transferring funds among themselves. The big cake is no longer something retail investors can play with; it has already been institutionalized. Now, the less retail investors dare to take over, the higher the price of the big cake will go. Then, a positive news will be released to give retail investors the confidence to buy at high levels. Once retail investors have entered enough, the institutions will pull out and release negative news to crash the market. The high probability is that it will first lower interest rates to pump the market, then a failed tariff negotiation will crash it, and finally, US inflation will soar, turning the originally planned three interest rate cuts within the year into just one, and there is even a possibility of an interest rate hike.