🚨Is a Silent Recession Coming? The Fed Urges Caution Amid Mixed Economic Signals

Jerome Powell, Chair of the Federal Reserve, is warning about rising risks to jobs and inflation. While some economic indicators in the U.S. remain strong, red flags are becoming harder to ignore.

Key Takeaways from Powell's Message:

Interest rates remain between 4.25% and 4.50%

Inflation is still above 2%, even after easing slightly

Uncertainty persists around the effects of new tariff and fiscal policies under the Trump administration

Imports are expected to drop in Q2, which may shift GDP dynamics

Public debt is on a potentially unsustainable path, Powell admits

What Does This Mean?

The Fed isn’t ruling out a slowdown. While Powell avoided the word “recession,” his call to “wait for more clarity” shows a defensive stance. Markets fear a policy misstep could stall growth.

Conclusion:

We may be entering a phase of weak growth and high uncertainty — a mix that has often preceded technical recessions in the past.

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ALERTS:

⚠️ Economic Uncertainty

⚠️ Elevated Inflation

⚠️ Risk of Policy Missteps

⚠️ Debt Concerns Rising