55445946082 The Survival Rules Learned from Three Years of Trading Coins, Understand to Save 5 Years of Detours!

1. The Key to Breaking Out with Small Capital (200,000 Survival Line)

Remember: Don’t touch contracts with less than 200,000 principal! Rolling over 50,000 principal three times can break the million threshold. Before the 100x DOGE market in 2021, there must be signs: ① The perpetual funding rate on exchanges exceeds 0.1% ② The amount of liquidation on the entire network exceeds 500 million for three consecutive days ③ Community activity surges by 300% to withdraw the principal and continue to gamble with profits.

2. The Cruel Truth of Monetizing Awareness

Force yourself to review for three hours daily. Remember this formula: Simulated trading profit × 0.3 = Real trading profit. When you can achieve 300% profit in simulated trading for three months with a maximum drawdown < 15%, then consider real trading. Especially the sudden market movements from 3-5 AM, test your mentality.

3. The Death Countdown of Profit Realization (Must Read!)

Remember the "Three-Minute Rule": The initial spike in price three minutes before a sudden good news is often a trap. Check on-chain data (recommend Nansen). If the transfer volume of the top 10 addresses surges by 200% within one hour after the good news is announced, immediately place a market sell order. Remember the night before the LUNA collapse in 2022, whale addresses moved collectively 36 hours in advance.

4. The Bloody Harvest During Holidays

Reduce positions by 50% in the 72 hours before the Spring Festival/Christmas! Statistics show that the average drop in the 48 hours before the Spring Festival from 2020-2023 reached 23.6%. It is recommended to use the Coinglass long-short ratio indicator. When the long-short ratio > 1.5, the probability of liquidation before the holiday is as high as 82%.

5. Capital Management Techniques

It is recommended to use the 532 formation: 50% mainstream coins (BTC/ETH), 30% new public chains (SOL/AVAX), 20% MEME coins. Immediately transfer out 50% to a cold wallet when profits exceed 30%. Remember this magical formula: Principal × (1 + 30%)^5 = 4.56 times the principal.

6. The Golden Code for Short-Term Trading

Focus on the 15-minute K-line + EMA21 moving average combination. When the trading volume exceeds three times the 20-day average, the win rate can reach 68%. Pay special attention to the trading window from 10:00 AM to 11:00 AM Eastern Time, which is when Wall Street institutions concentrate on rebalancing.

7. Opportunities in a Plunge

The waterfall three-wave law: The first wave kills retail investors, the second wave kills leverage, the third wave kills faith. When the futures funding rate breaks -0.05%, the rebound probability exceeds 75%. In March 2023, BTC rebounded from 20,000 to 30,000, perfectly illustrating this rule.

8. Set Dynamic Stop-Loss Lines: The first stop-loss is set at ±3% of the opening price, reduce positions by 50% immediately if it breaks, and if it continues to drop by 2%, close all positions. If losses exceed 5% of the principal, adjust your mentality.