#比特币预测 1. Bitcoin (BTC) Short-Term Strategy

Current Technical Form

Price Range: Bitcoin is currently trading at approximately $96,500, within the key fluctuation range of $94,000-$97,000. The technical indicators show that the RSI has risen to 57 (neutral to strong), the MACD momentum bar has shortened but has not yet formed a death cross, with short-term support at $94,000 and resistance at $97,000 above.

Breakout Signal: If the price effectively breaks through $97,000 with a trading volume increase of more than 20%, one can go long, targeting $98,500 and the psychological level of $100,000, with a stop-loss set below $95,000.

Pullback Opportunity

If the price retraces to the support range of $94,000-$95,000 and shows a bullish engulfing pattern or long lower shadow, one can gradually build long positions, targeting a rebound to the $97,000-$98,000 area, with a stop-loss set below $92,500.

Risk Control Before Federal Reserve Decision

On May 8th, Beijing time, the Federal Reserve will announce its interest rate decision. Although the probability of maintaining the interest rate is over 97%, one should be cautious of volatility caused by hawkish comments from Powell. It is recommended to reduce positions by 10-20% in advance to lower risk exposure.