$BTC

Short-term Trading (May-June):

• Strategy: The current price (94,000-97,000 USD) is close to the resistance at 95,900 USD. It is recommended to wait for a breakout accompanied by increased volume (>80 billion USD/day) before entering. Target 100,000-109,000 USD, stop loss at 90,000 USD.

• Risk: If it falls below 90,000 USD, it may retrace to 82,000 USD. Monitor the capital flow of US stocks and BTC ETF.

• Alternative Opportunities: If BTC faces resistance in breaking through, focus on L2 tokens (such as ARB, OP), as the ETH Pectra upgrade and draft support for DeFi may bring short-term speculation.

• Long-term Investment (End of 2025):

• Strategy: The current price is suitable for gradual accumulation, target 150,000-185,000 USD (Galaxy prediction).

• Driving Factors: FOMC interest rate cuts (June or July), draft legislation, BTC ETF inflows, halving effect.

• Focus Points: Track FOMC meeting (June 18), draft hearing (Financial Services Committee official website), on-chain data (such as exchange outflow volume).

• Risk Management:

• Position control at 10-20%, to guard against market volatility caused by Trump tariffs or regulatory delays.