#FOMCMeeting Decision Regarding Interest Rates. Forecasts indicate that the central bank will keep the interest rate unchanged, within the current range of 4.25% to 4.50%, amid ongoing anticipation regarding the impact of new tariffs on the U.S. economy.
Key Updates:
1- High likelihood of stabilization: The "CME FedWatch" tool indicates that the probability of an interest rate cut at this meeting does not exceed 1.8%, reinforcing expectations of stabilization.
2- Political pressures without response: Despite President Trump's repeated calls for interest rate cuts to support economic growth, the Federal Reserve remains cautious, pointing to inflation risks stemming from the new tariffs.
3- Market anticipation: Markets, including cryptocurrencies and gold, are reacting cautiously to the decision expectations. Bitcoin and Ethereum prices have dropped, while gold has risen by more than 2%, supported by a weak dollar and increased demand for safe-haven assets.
Finally, some analysts expect the Federal Reserve to start cutting interest rates beginning in July, especially if the effects of the tariffs begin to negatively impact inflation and the labor market. However, so far, there are no strong indications of economic weakness sufficient to justify an immediate interest rate cut.