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论本轮牛市本轮牛市起始于5月7日，因为大部分山寨币都是从这一天开始突破阻力位。 a，一般牛市最少会持续一个月，所以预计本轮牛市最早会在6月7日结束。 b，牛市你往往买不到爆拉的币，比如河马，比如pippin，还有之前的memefi，jelly。咱是普通人，买不到也正常。 c，牛市最稳妥的方法，就是买小市值，没怎么拉盘的。去年行情很差，山寨币牛市平均涨幅也有150个点。所以你买的币从5月7日算起，小市值平均涨幅应该最少也会翻倍。

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不夸张的说，二级市场的kol，基本上99%都是靠小市值起家的。你们看到那种合约发家的，不能说没有，确实少。而且吧，大多也是靠小市值合约发家。有没有靠比特币合约发家的呢？有，但是不具备复制性。小市值不是稳赚，他有下架，有超跌，有无尽横盘。不同行情的估值变化也很大。不把你折磨的死去活来，就不会爆拉。但是胜率也是真的高。收费群唯一给你的帮助，就是带你发现真正有价值的币。但是能不能暴富，还得看你运气。

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tut为何跌跌不休？主要是已经反弹过一次了，反弹就像打水漂，水漂越远，波浪越小。下一次tut反弹，大概要等到0.014。

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以前用统计学很好赚钱，现在不太行，难度越来越大了。但是用统计学避坑还是不错的。

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今年韭菜还有机会吗？小资金还能逆天改命吗？其实可以的，今年最大的机会是做空下架币…… 现在币安每个月都会下架一批山寨币，只要下架公告出来，你就花点小钱选择市值最大的做空…… 当然，这些下架币经常喜欢抽风反弹…… 所以，别梭哈，也不能高倍……只能用低倍复利做空……

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