#FOMCMeeting Today and tomorrow (May 6 and 7, 2025), the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) of the U.S. Federal Reserve will meet to decide on interest rates. Forecasts indicate that the central bank will keep the interest rate unchanged, within the current range of 4.25% to 4.50%, amid ongoing anticipation regarding the impact of new tariffs on the U.S. economy.

Key updates:

1- High likelihood of stabilization: The "CME FedWatch" tool indicates that the likelihood of an interest rate cut at this meeting does not exceed 1.8%, reinforcing expectations of stabilization.

2- Political pressures without response: Despite President Trump's repeated calls for a rate cut to support economic growth, the Federal Reserve remains cautious, pointing to inflation risks arising from the new tariffs.

3- Market anticipation: Markets, including cryptocurrencies and gold, are reacting cautiously to the decision expectations. Bitcoin and Ethereum prices have declined, while gold has risen by over 2%, supported by a weak dollar and increased demand for safe havens.

Finally, some analysts expect the Federal Reserve to start cutting interest rates beginning in July, especially if the effects of the tariffs begin to negatively impact inflation and the labor market. But so far, there are no indicators.