#交易故事 Trend Indicator: Assessing medium to long-term trends through daily/weekly moving averages (MA50, MA200). If the price strays far from the moving averages and shows a top divergence (such as RSI in the overbought zone, MACD red bars shortening), it may be a short-term high signal; conversely, if the price approaches key moving averages and shows a bottom divergence, it may be a low signal.

◦ Support and Resistance Levels: Referencing historical highs/lows, densely traded areas (such as volume distribution indicators), or Fibonacci retracement levels (e.g., stabilizing when falling to the 61.8% retracement level).

◦ Market Sentiment: Utilizing the Greed and Fear Index (below 30 indicates fear, possibly low; above 70 indicates greed, possibly high), combined with exchange positions, contract long-short ratios, and other data to assist in judgment.

2. Fundamental Drivers

◦ Platform Dynamics: The price of BNB is strongly correlated with the ecological development of Binance (e.g., new feature launches, user growth, regulatory dynamics). Positive news realization (such as the IEO craze, platform coin destruction) may form short-term peaks; negative news implementation (such as regulatory investigations, user loss) may lead to mistakenly selling low points.

◦ Market Correlation: BNB is strongly correlated with mainstream coins like Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH). If the market enters a correction period, BNB may also decline; at this time, one should be cautious of a 'false low'; conversely, when the market stabilizes and rebounds, BNB may rise first.