🧠 THE MARKETS ARE NO LONGER DRIVEN BY LOGIC… THEY'RE DRIVEN BY POLITICS. Everything is so manipulated now that real signals are lost in the noise. People are watching press conferences instead of charts. FED IS HOLDING BACK — no rate cuts, QT is still active. If markets crash, the blame will shift to the Biden administration, and the narrative will be, "They waited too long!" Even if rate cuts happen later, it'll be too late to save anything. On the flip side, since it’s an election year, the White House wants green markets — so there’s a real chance that QT stops THIS MONTH, and rate cuts begin in June-July. That’ll trigger a short-term pump, especially in $BTC , but it won’t be the massive bull run everyone is hoping for. Instead, we could see a full-on recession by 2026, and a brutal bear market. Now let’s talk about the dream scenario — Fed cuts rates, ends QT, bull run till 2026, no recession, everyone wins, and America is great again. But the truth is, it’s just a dream. The system has been too manipulated, with too many bad actors, and something will definitely break. So remember this: When everyone is bullish, be cautious. When everyone is scared, find opportunity. Because right now, $BTC is more political than technical.

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