INIT/USDT is facing selling pressure across multiple timeframes, indicating a clear downtrend. Below is a detailed technical analysis from the 15-minute timeframe to the multi-day timeframe, along with a suitable entry strategy and success probability assessment.
1. 15-minute timeframe – Short-term correction signal
Current price: 0.6877 (-4.74%)
EMA: EMA(7) > EMA(25) > EMA(99) → Short-term bullish signal
RSI: RSI(6) at 72.85 (overbought), RSI(12) at 66.68
MACD: Positive, but starting to weaken
Volume: Lower than MA(5) and MA(15)
Forecast: Could have a slight adjustment due to overbought RSI, but short-term trend still leans towards increase
2. 1-hour timeframe – Clear selling pressure
Current price: 0.6874 (-4.71%)
EMA: EMA(7) ≈ EMA(25) < EMA(99) → Mid-term downtrend
RSI: RSI(6) at 71.23 (overbought), RSI(12) at 57.32
MACD: Bearish divergence, could continue adjustment
Volume: Below average
Forecast: Likely to drop to support area 0.6781
3. 4-hour timeframe – Distinct downtrend
Current price: 0.6878 (-4.66%)
EMA: EMA(7) < EMA(25) < EMA(99) → Strong decline
RSI: Neutral (51.24), no buying power yet
MACD: Negative, momentum of decline maintained
Volume: Higher than MA(5) → Could be a sell-off session
Forecast: Could continue to drop to 0.6611
4. 1-day timeframe – Long-term downtrend still maintained
Current price: 0.6882 (-4.67%)
EMA: Bearish structure EMA(7) < EMA(25) < EMA(99)
RSI: 40.81 and decreasing → Selling pressure maintained
MACD: Negative, continuing downtrend
Volume: Weak
Forecast: Could continue to drop deeply to 0.6164 if the near support is not held
5. Multi-day timeframe – Risk of deep decline still present
Current price: 0.6808 (-5.64%)
EMA resistance(7): 0.7112
RSI: Neutral but low (43.49), lacking buying power
MACD: Below EMA(7), leaning towards negative trend
Volume: Large → Strong volatility may occur
Forecast: If mid-term support is lost, price could drop to the area of 0.5006 or deeper at 0.3336
Proposed trading strategy
1. Prioritize Short (1H & 4H timeframe)
Entry point: 0.6870–0.6900 (near short-term EMA resistance)
Take profit: 0.6611 (short-term target) or 0.6164 (mid-term)
Stop loss: 0.7000
Success probability: 65–70%
Reason: Multi-timeframe confirms downtrend, RSI is overbought
2. Look for short if there is a recovery signal (15-minute timeframe)
Entry condition: Price tests support at 0.6678 + RSI(6) < 30
Take profit: 0.6900
Stop loss: 0.6600
Success probability: 50–55%
Note: Only enter if a clear reversal signal appears
Recommendations and notes
Prioritize Short strategy due to downtrend structure across multiple timeframes
If volume suddenly increases when breaking support, the success probability for the Short could reach 75%
Be cautious of news factors that may cause strong volatility
Ideal Risk/Reward: 1:3 – small stop loss, optimized profit
Conclusion: INIT/USDT is in a clear downtrend adjustment phase, suitable for short and medium-term Short strategies. Long positions should only be taken when there is a reliable recovery signal. Safe, effective trading and always adhering to discipline are key to optimizing profits.
