Cryptocurrency Insights | 8 Key Recognitions from Retail Investor to Trader

After countless liquidations shown on the K-line, I've finally found the patterns in the game. Once you form your own logical system for trading cryptocurrencies, you can stabilize your mindset amidst the fluctuations! #比特币生态

⏰ Morning Market Response Strategy

🌅 Morning Sharp Drop Opportunity: If the market opens with a waterfall-style drop (over 10% decline), it can be seen as a short-term 'golden pit', place orders in batches to buy at lower prices (historical data: BTC has had a 64% chance of a V-shaped rebound after a sharp morning drop in the past three years).

🌅 Morning Sharp Rise Risk: A rocket-like surge in the morning (over 15% increase) is often an institution's lure for retail investors, so it's necessary to take profits in batches (statistics show that 78% of sharp morning rises decline in the afternoon).

📈 Afternoon Offensive and Defensive Logic

☀ Beware of Inducement During Volume Surge: If there is a sudden volume increase from 13:00 to 15:00, combined with the futures long-short ratio (>1.2 requires caution, effectiveness reaches 82%), to prevent the main force from offloading.

☀ Gradual Building Position During Stair-Step Decline: When a stair-step decline occurs, first build a 5% observation position, if it does not break the previous low by 09:30 the next day, you can increase your position (success rate improves by 37% compared to blindly catching a falling knife).

💡 Anti-Human Nature Trading Rules

1. Do not cut losses during sharp morning drops: 64% of V-shaped reversals start during the U.S. trading hours, be patient and wait for stabilization signals during sharp declines.

2. Do not enter during sideways fluctuations: The win rate is only 41% when the amplitude is <3%, reduce trading when the trend is unclear.

3. Stay calm when the market is euphoric: When the greed index >75, set a 5% premium sell order to harvest emotional premiums in reverse.

⚖ Quantitative Buy and Sell Standards

✅ Three Essential Factors for Buying: RSI <30 (oversold) + 4-hour MACD bottom divergence + liquidation volume suddenly increases by 30% (panic selling released).

❌ Three Signals for Selling: TD9 sequence peaks + net inflow to exchanges surges (concentration of chips flowing out) + social media FOMO index >85 (overheated sentiment).

📊 K-line Pattern Practical Skills

🔻 Three Consecutive Downs for Position Building Strategy: Three consecutive bearish candles with volume shrinking below MA20, use pyramid strategy for position building (add 10% for every 3% drop).

🔺 Two Bullish Candles Surrounded by One Bearish Candle for Profit Taking: When a pattern of two bullish candles surrounding one bearish candle appears, and USDT premium turns positive (signal of capital inflow), use an inverted pyramid to take profits (reduce 20% for every 5% increase).

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