$SOL

- Opportunity & Risk

1. Opportunity:

• Current Price: 143.74 USDT (-1.24%), trading below short-term EMAs (EMA36, EMA54, EMA89) → Short-term downtrend.

• Technical Indicators:

o RSI(6) = 17.13 (STRONGLY OVERSOLD) → Potential technical recovery.

o STOCHRSI = 6.14 (extremely oversold) → Potential reversal signal.

o Negative OBV (-846K) → Selling pressure, but if RSI recovers, price may bounce up.

• Money Flow:

o 5-day inflow: +16.95K SOL → Accumulating buying pressure.

o High trading volume (3.07M SOL) → Good liquidity.

2. Risk:

• Downtrend: Price is below all EMAs → Difficult to increase sharply immediately.

• Near Resistance: 145 - 147 USDT (EMA36/54/89).

• Negative OBV: If it does not improve, selling pressure may push the price down further.

3. Comparing Opportunity vs. Risk:

• Short-term recovery opportunity > Risk due to RSI and STOCHRSI being extremely oversold.

• Risk of continued decline if SOL does not break through 145 USDT.

SOL Investment Strategy

1. Recovery Scenario (Bullish Rebound):

• Buy Immediately (Scalping):

o Enter at 143 - 144 USDT, set stop-loss below 140 USDT.

o Take quick profit at 145 - 147 USDT (short-term EMA).

• Buy in Batches (DCA):

o Divide capital, buy more if the price drops to 140 - 142 USDT.

o Medium-term target: 150 USDT if breaking resistance at 147.

2. Continued Decline Scenario (Bearish Continuation):

• If the price breaks 140 USDT, wait to test support at 135 - 138 USDT before buying.

• Hard stop-loss: Below 135 USDT to avoid long downtrend risk.