1. Current situation

- Last price: 2.9756 USDT (-4.48% over 24h).

- Mark price: 2.9758 USDT (close to the last price, indicating no significant discrepancies).

- 24h range: 2.9651 (minimum) – 3.1165 (maximum).

- Volumes:

- 11.56 million TON (≈35.05 million USDT) — moderate volume, which may indicate average market activity.

2. Key levels

- Support: 2.9651 (minimum for 24h). If the price falls below, a test of 2.90–2.85 is possible.

- Resistance: 3.1165 (maximum for 24h). Breaking this level may open the way to 3.20–3.30.

- Current trend: Downward (-4.48%), but proximity to the day's low requires caution.

3. Trading plan

Scenario 1: Bounce from support (2.9651)

- Entry in long: Upon confirmation of a bounce from 2.9651 (for example, a candle with a long lower shadow or a close above 2.98).

- Take profit: 3.05 (first target), 3.1165 (second target).

- Stop-loss: Below 2.95 (for example, 2.94).

Scenario 2: Breaking support (2.9651)

- Entry in short: When the price is firmly below 2.9651 (for example, a 15-minute candle closes below).

- Take profit: 2.90, then 2.85.

- Stop-loss: Above 2.98.

Scenario 3: Consolidation in the range of 2.9651–3.1165

- Strategy: Trading from the range boundaries with short stops.

4. Risk management

- Position size: No more than 1–2% of capital per trade.

- Risk/reward ratio: Minimum 1:2 (for example, risk 0.01 USDT for profit 0.02 USDT).

5. Additional factors

- Market depth: Check the order book for large orders at key levels.

- News: Monitor news on TON (technical updates, partnerships).

6. Conclusion

Today's plan focuses on the price reaction to the levels of 2.9651 (support) and 3.1165 (resistance). Priority is a bounce from the bottom or a breakout with confirmation. It is important to maintain discipline and risk management.

$TON

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