[Long-term analysis] 💡 Scores needed for $OBOL Binance Alpha airdrop
📊 Analysis:
🟢 First TGE and airdrop on 18/04 ($BANK) and 20/04 ($EPT)
✅ Requirements are extremely simple: just need 1 transaction (0.1$ will also receive the airdrop)
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🟡 TGE on 25/04 ($AIOT)
🧮 Score requirement: 45 points
(if anyone who seizes the opportunity well in 6 days from 19–24, will need to swap 50$ each day, which is 5 points * 6 days)
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🟠 Fourth airdrop on 28/04 ($SIGN)
🎯 Score requirement: 65 points (increase of 20 points in 2 days, almost 80% won't meet the score here)
📈 To meet the requirement: from 19–27.04, need to swap at least $70 each day, which is 6 points * 9 days
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🔴 Airdrop $HAEDAL (29/04)
🎯 Score requirement: 80 points (increase of 15 points in 1 day)
📈 To meet the requirement: from 19–28, need to swap $130 each day, which is 7 points * 10 days
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🔥 Airdrop $OBOL (07/05)
🔮 Predicted score requirement: 135 points (average increase of 6 points each day from 29/04)
📈 To meet the requirement: need to HOLD 1000$ (30 points) and swap 105 points in 15 days
(that is, need to swap a minimum of $130 each day)
📝 Summary:
🎯 Binance Alpha bookmaker's goal: needs good liquidity and to eliminate spam, surely you've seen a Chinese guy with nearly 15 phones and an average score of over 80
=> 135–150 points is completely feasible
⚔️ The bookmaker has always been very aggressive, any situation can occur
⚠️ If you expect the needed score to be 100 or 120 points → each account receives 10$ and the ETH gas fee is 3.4$ (this has happened with $DOLO already)
⇒ ❌ Your profit is only at 6$ and not enough to cover the swap cost for 20 consecutive days
✅ If the score is 135–150 → each account receives at least $35
→ after deducting the ETH gas fee, still more than $30
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