Bitcoin price prediction for May 2025 (Technical analysis + deep hexagram interpretation) $BTC
Release date: May 3, 2025. Have you noticed that the recent trend of Bitcoin really resembles the ups and downs of our emotions in life — sometimes soaring, other times caught in a dilemma? In fact, there are many seemingly mysterious but actually regular patterns within this. Today, I will discuss how Bitcoin will move in May and how to respond, combining the hexagram and market conditions. One, an in-depth explanation of the hexagram in plain language — Wind Mountain Gradually + Wind Blowing.
This time the hexagram drawn is 'Wind Mountain Gradually', meaning to take it slow and not be impatient. Whether you are holding coins or observing, I suggest maintaining a steady mindset. Bitcoin is currently in a phase of great pressure, with $98,000 like a huge mountain, and breaking through will require gradual steps. The good news is there is also strong support below, making it hard to collapse directly. The hexagram has reached 'Wind Blowing', indicating that market fluctuations will become more frequent, especially when the second line, the brother line, is activated — simply put, this means short-term selling pressure may increase, as some whales might take the opportunity to cash out. But as long as the roots below remain, the market will eventually return to its own rhythm. The only thing to be wary of is a sudden regulatory strike, which is a typical black swan risk that must be guarded against. Second, how to interpret the family lines regarding funds and policies?
The financial line represents Bitcoin itself, and now with the support of earth elements, it indicates that the overall trend is not bad, still upward in the medium to long term. However, as summer approaches (the month of Si and Wu), the bullish momentum will weaken, so after mid-May, risks will begin to rise. The official ghost line represents policy matters. This year is the Year of the Wood Snake, and the policy winds are particularly strong; the hexagram suggests that May is very likely to see historically significant regulatory shocks. For example, actions from the US SEC, news emerging from the G20 summit, or even certain countries directly crashing the market. Just when you think it will keep rising, a sudden blow may occur; such events have happened before. Three, breakdown of time nodes, what pitfalls should we avoid? May 5-11 (the second week):
The activation of the brother line means that funds in the market will flow out, and it is possible for large short-term holders to sell, easily dropping back to the $93,000-$94,500 range. At this time, do not chase the highs; patiently wait for opportunities. After May 19 (the fourth week):
The clash between the official ghost line and the financial line indicates a tug-of-war between policy and price; be cautious of regulatory risks. The market could experience significant volatility, and a drop to $85,000-$90,000 is not impossible. Four, a concise version of the fundamentals, what are the reasons for bullishness and bearishness?
Bullish: After the halving in 2024, historical experience tells us that the main bullish wave of the bull market usually lasts 12-18 months, so there should still be a peak this May, possibly pointing to $150,000-$250,000. Large institutions continue to increase their positions, and the amount of Bitcoin held by ETFs keeps hitting new highs. Do you think this smart money will casually exit? Bearish: The official ghost line is too strong, and policy risks cannot be underestimated, especially at heavyweight meetings like the G20, where collective statements can have unpredictable impacts. The technical aspect has shown a MACD divergence, and near $98,000 is a super pressure point; if it fails to break through, it could easily trigger a chain liquidation. Five, operational advice, how to choose at a critical moment?
The first half of the month (May 1-18):
The market is mostly volatile; pay close attention to the $93,000-$96,500 range. If it strongly breaks through $96,500, you can take a small long position, but do not get too attached. The second half of the month (May 19-31):
During sensitive policy periods, the market could suddenly turn against us. If it drops below $93,000, decisively cut losses and wait for a return to $85,000-$90,000 before considering bottom fishing. Specific strategies: Long position: Enter after stabilizing above $96,500, targeting $98,500-$100,000, with a stop-loss at $95,500. Short position: Attempt to short if it rebounds to $97,000-$97,500, targeting $93,000, with a stop-loss above $98,000. For the long term, continue dollar-cost averaging, buying in batches below $80,000, targeting $150,000 by the end of the year, and don't be swayed by short-term fluctuations. Six, one last risk reminder.
If May unexpectedly encounters significant regulatory strikes, the price could directly break $80,000. The Federal Reserve not lowering interest rates will also strengthen the dollar, putting short-term pressure on Bitcoin. Remember this: the closer it gets to a critical moment, the more you need to prioritize risk control. A small reminder:
Don't fantasize about getting rich overnight, and don't be afraid to temporarily sink. Things like Bitcoin are most affected by emotional trading. Go with the trend, leave some room for maneuver, and wait until things are clearer before jumping back in. Control the leverage in your hands, stay grounded, and you will eventually endure until the moment when spring flowers bloom! (The above content is for reference only, investment carries risks, do not blindly follow the crowd.)