Today's opening position is Ant's position 1842 short, liquidation price 1863, currently trapped, future trading strategy.
Key Indicator Analysis:
1. SAR (1,858.90): The current price (1,849.03) is below SAR, indicating a short-term bearish trend, but caution is needed for the price rebounding and breaking through SAR.
2. BOLL (middle band 1,841.55): The price is close to the middle band. If it breaks down, it may move towards the lower band (1,815); if it stabilizes at the middle band, it may test the upper band (1,868.11).
3. MACD (-3.15): Bearish momentum is dominant, but it is necessary to observe if a bottom divergence signal appears.
4. Trading Volume: Currently low, with a strong wait-and-see sentiment in the market. If volume increases, it may trigger a trend.
Risk Points:
- Liquidation price (1,863) is only 14 points away from the current price. If the price quickly breaks above SAR (1,858.90) or Bollinger Band upper band (1,868.11), it may trigger a stop loss.
The 24-hour high point (1,873.85) is strong resistance, and breaking through increases the risk for bears.
Trading Strategy:
1. Short-term Defense:
Strict Stop Loss: If the price breaks through SAR (1,858.90) and the hourly candlestick closes above, it is recommended to manually stop loss or move the stop loss to around 1,860 to avoid liquidation risk.
Key Observation Points: Focus on the battle between bulls and bears in the 1,858-1,863 range. If multiple attempts to rise fail, one may hold short positions.
2. Potential Add Position Opportunity:
- If the price falls back to near the Bollinger Band middle band (1,841.55) and MACD confirms a death cross, a small position can be added for a short, targeting 1,820-1,815 (Bollinger Band lower band).
- If the price breaks below 1,840, it can be seen as a signal for strengthening bears, holding positions while waiting for a drop.
3. Take Profit Suggestion:
First Target: 1,830 (previous low support), partial take profit.
Second Target: 1,815 (Bollinger Band lower band), clear all positions.
4. Response to Reversal Signals:
- If the price breaks above 1,868 (Bollinger Band upper band) and MACD shows a golden cross, one should decisively stop loss and reverse to a short position (quick in and out).
A-Ping's Summary:
The current price is below the key resistance (SAR 1,858.90), with bears temporarily in favor, but caution is needed for rebound risks. It is suggested to use 1,858-1,863 as the defensive range. A break below 1,840 can add positions, while a breakout above 1860 should stop loss. If there is no significant positive news in the market, the hourly level leans towards oscillating downwards, targeting 1,815-1,820.
Strict risk control to avoid holding positions.