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This is the price of XRP after ETF approval.
Date:
May 1, 2025
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The price of XRP may reach greater heights if XRP ETFs manage to secure just a small portion of Bitcoin ETF flows after approval.
The potential approval of XRP ETFs in the United States could have massive price implications for this currency. With most regulatory hurdles related to XRP being resolved and increasing institutional interest, the chances of approval have risen.
Interestingly, Polymarket predicts an 80% approval rate for the XRP ETF this year, up from 68% just a week ago. With market participants anticipating these products, most expect an upward impact on the price of XRP, especially if it achieves similar success to that of Bitcoin ETFs.
- Announcement -
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XRP ETF approval odds on Polymarket
Chances of approval for the XRP ETF | Polymarket
The price of XRP if XRP ETFs capture 15-30% of Bitcoin ETF flows
In related context, data from Sosovalue indicates that Bitcoin ETFs have gathered nearly $39 billion in net flows since their launch in January 2024. If XRP ETFs capture just 15% to 30% of this figure, XRP's price may rise significantly.
For example, assuming that XRP ETFs attract 15% of Bitcoin ETF flows, this equates to $5.85 billion flowing into XRP-focused funds. Applying a modest flow-to-value multiplier of 100 times, this amount of $5.85 billion could boost XRP's market cap by $585 billion.
It is noteworthy that when adding the current market cap of approximately $130 billion, the total new valuation would reach $715 billion. At the same time, the circulating supply of XRP is currently 58.44 billion tokens. Accounting for this number, the token price would reach approximately $12.23, which is an increase of 450% from its current trading price of $2.22.
However, doubling this share to 30% of ETF Bitcoin flows would have more dramatic effects. This high ratio would lead to a net capital inflow of $11.7 billion into XRP ETFs. This would result in an increase of $1.17 trillion in XRP's total value using the same 100x multiplier.
When combined with the current market cap of $130 billion, the value of XRP could rise to around $1.3 trillion. This new valuation results in an XRP price of $22.2, considering the supply of 58.44 billion tokens. This increase would represent a nearly 900% rise in value from its current price.
- Announcement -
Developments in the XRP ETF
While these predictions are based on assumptions, the increasing interest in XRP ETFs supports the idea that institutional investment could flood the market once approvals are secured. The Chief Investment Officer at Bitwise previously confirmed that they are witnessing significant demand for XRP ETFs.
It is worth noting that the ETF landscape for XRP has seen rapid developments throughout 2024 and 2025. Teucrium Investment Advisors has led the way by launching the Teucrium 2x Long Daily XRP ETF on April 8, providing leveraged exposure to daily XRP price fluctuations.
Interestingly, ProShares recently received the green light to launch a series of futures-based ETFs, including leveraged and inverse offerings. However, these products rely on derivatives, not on direct holdings of XRP.
Despite this momentum, no spot trading ETF for Ripple (XRP) has been approved yet. Several companies, such as Bitwise, 21Shares, WisdomTree, and Franklin Templeton, have submitted applications.
Among them, Franklin Templeton recently experienced a delay when the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission announced on April 29 that it was extending the review period for the company's proposal regarding the XRP spot ETF.
Most importantly, the potential outcome of the Ripple case against the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) would enhance approval chances. Several companies, including Bitnomial, Coinbase, and CME Group, have proposed futures contracts for Ripple that are subject to oversight from the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). This further supports the launch of a traded ETF for Ripple.
$XRP