$BTC Short-term intent (1-7 days)
May 1, 14:32
• Current price: 95,048.98 USD (latest candlestick chart on May 1), 24-hour change +0.47%, with prices fluctuating between 92,228.45-95,910.00.
• Analysis of fund flow:
• Large order funds turned to net inflow in the last day (+442.64 BTC), with a total net inflow of 19,281 BTC over the past 7 days, indicating that market makers are starting to accumulate chips.
• Major inflows to exchanges (such as Bitfinex, Gate.io) are typically platforms where large players or institutions are active, indicating that institutions may be accumulating at lower levels (92,658.51-94,000 USD).
• Continuous net outflow from mid-sized and small orders (-296.8272 BTC and -294.6441 BTC), possibly indicating retail investors taking profits or stop-losses after a price rebound, while market makers utilize retail panic to accumulate positions at lower levels.
• Technical Analysis:
• The price rebounded from the low of 92,658.51 USD on April 30 to 95,048.98 USD, breaking through the middle Bollinger Band (94,679.59), approaching the upper band (95,607.06), indicating that market makers may create an illusion of rising prices to attract retail investors to chase up.
• Decreased trading volume (1,629.94 BTC below average), indicating that market makers may control the pace of the price elevation to avoid rapid increases that lead retail investors to follow suit.
• Market sentiment:
• The Fear and Greed Index stands at 38.00, still cautious; market makers may use the market's 'fear' sentiment to gradually push up prices after accumulating positions at lower levels, creating rebound expectations.
• Interpretation of short-term intent:
• Accumulation phase: Market makers are accumulating positions at low levels within the range of 92,658.51-94,000 USD, with a reversal in fund flow (net inflow of large orders) supporting this judgment.
• Intent to lift: By slightly raising the price above 95,000 USD, attracting retail investors to chase up while controlling trading volume to avoid rapid price increases.
• Short-term target: Push the price up to 96,000-96,382.20 USD (recent highs), possibly distributing some chips within this range.#币安Alpha上新 #SEC推迟多个现货ETF审批 #空投防骗手册 #Strategy增持比特币 #特朗普税改