BTC Four-Hour Market Analysis: Don't Be Deceived by Appearances, These Points Must Be Monitored
Today the market looks lively, but there are hidden tricks. BTC started rising at 8 AM from 94125, dipping to a low of 94086 in between, and then surging to close at 94929, an increase of 0.85% for the day, but the fluctuation was less than 1%. The closing price was almost at the highest point, appearing strong, but the trading volume was just over 950,000 (units to be confirmed), clearly indicating that there was no influx of speculative funds—this rise seems more like a self-indulgence by large players, with retail investors not participating at all.
Technical Indicators Are All for Show
Moving Averages are Sticky
The 7-day moving average (94545) and the 30-day moving average (94452) are almost touching, barely counting as a “golden cross.” But the two lines are less than 100 points apart; this is not a trend reversal. It is clearly a tug-of-war between bulls and bears! If we can’t break through 95000 tomorrow, there will definitely be more back-and-forth fluctuations to wash out traders.
Operational Strategy: Being a Little Cowardly is Safer
Remember Key Positions
Below 74457 is the recent iron bottom; break it and quickly run; above 95000 is a psychological pressure point; if you really want to break through, it must be with volume. Right now, this position is neither high nor low; don’t easily take a side.
How to Deal with MACD Anomalies
If this indicator is not a data error, it is likely a trap set by large players. It’s better to earn less than to gamble with your life; wait for the MACD bars to turn red before following the trend, although it means earning 20% less, it can help avoid 90% of the traps.
Timing is Crucial
Looking at the date axis from the end of March to April 30, it is clear that large funds are waiting for policy direction. Recently, various countries have been watching the cryptocurrency space, and you never know when a negative announcement might come out—don’t let your position exceed 50%, so you can sleep more soundly.
Retail Investor Mindset Essential Course
The current market is like walking on a tightrope:
Don’t rush to chase after a late surge; it might be a trap set by large players;
When encountering conflicting indicators, check the data first, don’t scare yourself;
The more confused the market, the more you need to keep your hands steady; staying calm when others panic is a true skill.
Remember! The bull market is the fastest time for retail investors to lose money—looking at the rise happily, you'll be stuck at the peak as soon as you chase. In this situation, it's better to earn less than to become cannon fodder. Waiting for the market to find its own direction is ten times more reliable than guessing blindly.
Are you stuck? When to bottom fish? Still the same saying, if you're confused and helpless and don’t know what to do, click on the avatar to comment. I need followers, you need references.
