#Pi #Binance

Scenarios for #pi May 2025

Bullish Scenario:

Conditions: A positive announcement at Consensus 2025, a listing on a major exchange, or an increase in ecosystem adoption could drive the price up. If PI surpasses the resistance of $0.8727 and turns it into support, it could reach $1.00 or even $3.29 in a sustained rally.

Probability: Moderate (30-40%), given the community's optimism and whale activity, but limited by the lack of concrete confirmations.

Key Catalysts: Visibility at Consensus, reduction of supply on exchanges, and advancements in use cases.

Bearish Scenario:

Conditions: If there are no significant announcements, token unlocks continue, or Bitcoin keeps rising, PI could fall below $0.6077, targeting $0.5192 or $0.40. A break of the ascending wedge pattern would reinforce this scenario.

Probability: High (50-60%), due to selling pressure, the inverse correlation with BTC, and structural challenges.

Key Risks: Token inflation, lack of listings on exchanges, and regulatory concerns.

Sideways Scenario:

Conditions: Without major catalysts, PI could consolidate around $0.60-$0.75, maintaining the current accumulation zone.

Probability: Moderate (20-30%), as the market awaits clear signals before a decisive move.