#AltcoinETFsPostponed XRP ETF bet on Polymarket.

The SEC is expected to classify these assets as commodities and most have regulated futures—a factor seen as favorable for approval. Meanwhile, prediction market Polymarket reflects a similar trend of rising confidence among bettors. As of April 30, the SOL ETF wager shows an 89% likelihood of approval by year-end, up 15%, with a total volume of $142,806 traded. This aligns closely with Bloomberg’s forecast.

Litecoin and XRP also saw increased optimism on Polymarket, both now trading at a 79% chance. The XRP Polymarket contract—tracking Ripple ETF approval—has seen $65,640 in volume, while the Litecoin market has processed $42,181. These levels suggest moderate but growing engagement from speculators.

Cardano lags the others, with its Polymarket odds at 69%, albeit up 59% in recent days. The volume on this bet is the highest among the listed assets, totaling $366,581, indicating heightened trader interest despite Bloomberg’s more conservative 75% estimate.