The US might fall into recession in 2025.
Today, US Q1 GDP data was released. It was way worse than expected.
US GDP growth slows to -0.3%, marking the first negative growth since Q1 2022.
What's shocking is that recent tariffs had little to no effect on Q1 figures.
Now that tariffs have started to kick in, which means Q2 GDP could be even worse.
So what's next for the market?
Well, the US won't go into a recession until it has done everything possible to avoid it.
It could be from tariff negotiations to QE and rate cuts.
All of these things will definitely pump the markets in the short to mid term.
I think that the US falling into a recession is almost certain, but before that there will definitely be a big rally.
