#特朗普就职百日 Wow, Trump's series of actions is truly astonishing! First, let's talk about his approach to trade. He immediately imposed a 25% tariff on multiple countries, which is like throwing a big stone into the global economic waters, creating huge waves. Market risk aversion surged instantly, and everyone was in a panic because no one wants to get caught in the whirlpool of trade friction. This kind of trade protectionism may give some domestic industries a sense of a 'safety net' in the short term, but in the long run, it is undoubtedly like lifting a stone to hit one's own foot. The global industrial chain division of labor is so clear that when you increase tariffs, others' costs go up, trade relations become tense, and in the end, it is still the economy of your own country that gets hurt. Other countries will definitely not sit idly by, and once retaliatory tariffs come into play, it will truly be a lose-lose situation, disrupting the global trade landscape and dragging down the process of economic recovery.
Looking at his actions in the cryptocurrency space, establishing a strategic Bitcoin reserve, appointing a cryptocurrency head, and even holding a cryptocurrency summit at the White House while declaring the U.S. as the cryptocurrency capital is indeed a bit baffling. Cryptocurrency has always been highly controversial. On one hand, it does have innovative aspects; the decentralization and immutability features of blockchain technology sound impressive and seem capable of bringing about changes in the financial sector. On the other hand, the volatility of cryptocurrencies is too great, with prices varying drastically day by day, making it impossible to compare with traditional currencies. Moreover, regulatory challenges are immense, making it easy for cryptocurrencies to be used for illegal activities like money laundering and fraud. At this time, Trump's loud promotion of cryptocurrency raises the question: is he aiming to lead financial innovation or taking a risk?
From the perspective of long-term growth, recklessly promoting cryptocurrency may bring about many destabilizing factors. The stability of financial markets is the cornerstone of healthy economic development, and the high volatility of cryptocurrency could trigger turmoil in financial markets, consequently affecting the real economy. Furthermore, other countries around the world have varying attitudes towards cryptocurrency; some have even banned cryptocurrency trading. The unilateral actions of the United States could easily lead to international disagreements and friction. If other countries unite to resist, the U.S. cryptocurrency plan might find itself in trouble.
From the perspective of short-term volatility, Trump's series of actions will definitely lead to significant market fluctuations. The risk aversion triggered by trade protectionism, combined with the uncertainty of the cryptocurrency market, will leave investors in a scramble. Companies engaged in traditional trade may see a reduction in orders and increased costs due to tariff issues; meanwhile, those interested in cryptocurrency will be confused by the market's high volatility, not knowing whether to chase highs or buy lows.
Regarding the risks of global opposition, I feel they are quite significant. In terms of trade, the United States' trade protectionism has long been criticized by other countries, and now with the addition of cryptocurrency, it can easily be seen by other countries as a move towards financial hegemony. After all, the rules in the financial sector should be discussed collectively, rather than dictated unilaterally by one country. If other countries feel that the actions of the United States harm their interests, they will definitely take countermeasures, and the United States may find itself isolated and unsupported.
In short, Trump's recent moves look very radical, but the risks are also significant. Economic policies should be stable and sustainable, rather than so risky. I hope the U.S. government can weigh the pros and cons carefully and not sacrifice long-term stable development for short-term gains.
