There is a foolish method that achieves a 100% win rate (Beginner's suggestions for survival #币安Alpha上新

1. Capital Cutting Rule: Treat your capital as a "family heirloom"

Counterintuitive operation: Divide the capital into 10 equal parts (e.g., split 100,000 into ten 10,000)

🔹 Ironclad rule for single trades:

✅ Each investment ≤ 1 part (10% position)

✅ Stop-loss fixed at -5% (single part loss ≤ 500 yuan)

▶ Logic: With three consecutive stop-losses, only lose 15% of capital, keeping 85% for a comeback

⚠ Key discipline: After three stop-losses, mandatory 24-hour break (Historical data: Winning rate drops to 38% after consecutive stop-losses)

2. "Counter-technical" use of the moving average system

▶ 5-Day Moving Average: The main force's "baiting meat grinder"

Data verification: From 2023-2024, after breaking the 5-day line, the probability of a pullback within 48 hours is 87%

Operational strategy: Do not chase after a breakout; wait for a pullback confirmation before entering

▶ 30-Day Moving Average: The true lifeline of a bull market

Bull-bear boundary indicator:

Coins that stabilize above the 30-day line: average increase of 327% (2023 data)

✔ Breaking below the 30-day line with weak pullbacks: 91% probability of entering a correction period

▶ 200-Day Moving Average: The "death line" for bottom fishers

⚠ Risk data: Investors bottom-fishing below the 200-day line, 94% are liquidated or exit within 6 months

✅ Right-side trading principle: Wait for price to stabilize above the 200-day line + volume to double before re-entering

3. Counterintuitive operations during sharp rises and falls

▶ FOMO trap resolution:

🚫 Chasing gains is a fatal signal:

✓ Daily increase > 30% + community hype

✓ Operation: When the increase reaches 50%, 92% of those who chase will lose within 3 days

✅ True bottom characteristics:

🔵 Trading volume shrinks to peak 1/10

🔵 Community activity drops to freezing point (no more complaints)

▶ Golden accumulation rule:

📈 Scientific accumulation threshold: Only consider adding to positions when unrealized profits ≥ 20%

▶ Data support: Accumulating below 20% unrealized profits results in a winning rate of only 39%

✅ Pyramid accumulation model:

▶ First accumulation: Increase position by 50% when rising 10%

▶ Second accumulation: Increase position by 25% when rising another 10%

▶ Return comparison: 400% higher return rate than equal amount accumulation

4. The "deadly signal" that scare the big players

▶ Large upper shadow at high positions:

⚠ Warning of a crash: Coins displaying this pattern in the past 6 months have an average drop of 45% over 7 days

✅ Operation: Clear positions within 24 hours after it appears, regardless of profit or loss

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