Initial Blood Loss Lessons in the Crypto World: From Liquidation to the "10% Survival Rule" #加密市场反弹
After losing 50% of my principal in 3 days, I summarized this anti-human strategy, which helped me avoid 3 rounds of crashes—especially the third point, which hits the dead spot for 90% of retail investors!
1. Position Control Iron Rule: Staying Alive is More Important than Making Money
Capital Allocation Model:
✂ Always divide into 10 equal parts (e.g., 10,000 U divided into 10 parts of 1,000 U)
✅ Single Position ≤ 1 part (10% position)
▶ Core Logic: A single liquidation only loses 10% of the principal, keeping 90% of the capital for a comeback
⚠ Fatal Misunderstanding: "All-in to recover" is a death trap set by market makers; the more urgent, the more you lose
2. Counterintuitive Position Adjustment: Add to positions only when profitable, cut losses when losing
Profit Adding Rule:
📈 After floating profit exceeds 20%, use the profit portion (not the principal) to roll over for adding positions
▶ Example: Open a position with 1,000 U and earn 200 U; use the 200 U profit to open a new position, keeping the principal at 1,000 U
Stop Loss Iron Rule:
🚫 If losses reach 5%, immediately close the position; never average down
3. Mainstream Coins vs. Altcoins: 90% of liquidations occur from "chasing shitcoins"
Pitfall Avoidance Principles:
❌ Reject three types of coins:
▶ Shitcoins that surge more than 30% in 24 hours (selling off immediately after good news is announced)
▶ Underrated coins with a market cap < 100 million USD (poor liquidity makes them prone to spikes)
▶ "News coins" without technical support
✅ Mainstream Coin Operation Logic:
🔍 Crash adding signal: BTC/ETH breaking below the 200-day moving average + sudden drop in trading volume (panic bottom characteristic)
⚖ Use "dual currency hedging" to reduce risk: simultaneously hold long BTC + short ETH to capture mainstream coin rotation opportunities
Counter-Emotion Trading Philosophy: When others are panicking, I set my positions; when others are greedy, I retreat
📉 Panic Period Operations:
✅ Observe the Fear & Greed Index < 20, build positions in batches
✅ Use "dollar-cost averaging": buy 1 part when it drops 5%, then buy another part when it drops another 5%
📈 Greed Period Operations:
⏳ When the market sentiment index > 80, initiate a tiered profit-taking strategy
▶ Sell 30% when profits reach 50%, sell another 40% when it reaches 100%, keep the remaining 30% as a trend position
Two Survival Tips for Newcomers:
1. For the first 3 months, use only 1% of the principal for practice (e.g., if 10,000 U, initially invest 100 U)
2. Set "counterintuitive reminders": when you want to chase a rise, first ask yourself, "Why does the market maker want me to see this increase?"
If you are also deeply researching technical operations in the crypto world, consider following Gong Tehao's "Round Round Accumulating Wealth" for the latest crypto intelligence and trading techniques.