There is a very foolish method that achieves a 100% win rate (some survival tips for beginners) #加密市场反弹
When I first started trading cryptocurrencies, I stayed up all night watching the market, chasing highs and cutting losses, and I lost sleep over my losses. Later, I persisted in using a foolish method, and surprisingly, I survived and gradually began to stabilize my profits.
Looking back now, this method, though foolish, is effective: "If I don't see familiar signals, I will not act!"
1. Long-term strategy for mainstream coins: Position management is key
Operating principle: Allocate large positions to mainstream value coins (like $BTC $ETH), only trade spot and avoid contracts.
🔹 Entry logic: Combine the cost price of building positions, using the "rolling position strategy" for dynamic adjustments (adding/reducing positions in batches).
🔹 Downturn mindset: During a market crash, if the 4-hour line has not effectively broken below the 20-day moving average, do not panic.
▶ Reason analysis:
⚠ Contract liquidation: Avoid leverage without professional risk control; spot trading is easier to withstand short-term volatility.
🔄 Technical pullback: After a surge, a gap break of the 5-day line usually requires a pullback to the 5-10 day line to build momentum.
📉 Market makers washout: When retail investors chase highs, the main players often drop sharply to flush out panic-driven shares.
2. Swing trading rules: Locking profits and batch positioning
Ironclad swing trading rules:
✅ Reduce positions on profitable trades in advance: Take profits in batches at high levels to secure floating profits.
✅ Support level accumulation strategy: Place orders to buy low at the 5-day/10-day/30-day moving averages on the daily chart.
Key to trend judgment:
🔮 Lifeline strategy: When the trend line (like the 60-day moving average) is broken and the rebound lacks strength, decisively reduce positions and exit.
3. Mindset management and risk control
Strategies for dealing with sharp rises and falls:
🔥 During an uptrend: Be cautious of chasing highs, take profits in batches to secure gains.
🌧 During a downtrend: Build positions in batches, set stop-loss levels (e.g., exit when breaking below support levels).
Core of capital management:
💎 Reduce profitable positions by 30%-50%: Avoid "roller coaster" market conditions.
🛑 Always set stop-loss for bottom-fishing orders: Capital safety takes precedence over profits.
Advice for newcomers:
🚦 Learn before doing: Practice with small funds, familiarize yourself with market rules through copy trading.
🧘 Focus on refining your mindset: When the direction is unclear, wait and observe; it is better to miss an opportunity than to make a mistake.
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