Why Bitcoin’s Next Major Correction Might Already Be Set in Stone
Bitcoin’s wild price swings aren’t chaotic — they move through predictable cycles mapped out by historical data.
One of the most powerful tools to decode these cycles? The Pi Cycle Top Indicator, crafted by Philip Swift in 2019.
This sharp analytical tool uses a combination of two finely tuned moving averages to spotlight moments when market euphoria pushes Bitcoin beyond sustainable levels.
The Mechanics Behind the Magic
At its heart, the Pi Cycle Top brings together two key moving averages:
The 111-day moving average (111DMA), tracking short- to mid-term price trends, and
The 350-day moving average, doubled (350DMA x2), magnifying the long-term price baseline.
The ratio between them — around 3.153 — eerily echoes the mathematical constant Pi (3.142), giving the indicator both its name and its unique credibility.
When the 111DMA crosses above the 350DMA x2, it’s like a sirens' call warning that the market may be overheating.
A Track Record That Demands Respect
This isn’t just theory — the Pi Cycle Top has nailed critical Bitcoin peaks:
In 2013, it flagged a top just four days before Bitcoin nosedived 65%.
In 2017, the signal flashed within 72 hours of the bull market's peak — ahead of an 84% collapse.
Most recently, in 2021, Bitcoin topped out only 11 days after the warning, leading to a sharp 53% pullback.
These results aren’t random; they reveal a market that breathes in mathematical rhythms, growing feverish and then shedding excess with stunning regularity.
For those who know how to read it, the Pi Cycle Top isn’t just another chart tool — it’s a beacon in Bitcoin’s turbulent seas.
Ignore it, and you might find yourself caught in the next storm.