BTC/USDT Four Hour Trend Analysis (as of April 29, 2025)
📈 Current Price: 94,738.84 USDT
📊 RSI(14): 56.69 (Neutral to Strong)
🔍 Volume: Increased after a surge, momentum gradually weakening
I. Overall Trend Overview
Bitcoin has recently experienced a strong breakout, continuously climbing from the $82,000 area to above $95,000, showing a clear upward channel structure. Currently, after encountering resistance in the $94,000~$95,000 range, the price has entered a high-level consolidation, facing some profit-taking pressure in the short term, but the medium-term upward trend remains intact.
II. Technical Indicator Analysis
📌 RSI Observation:
The RSI is currently 56.69, in the slightly bullish neutral zone, indicating that market sentiment is decent, but there are signs of a decline in momentum highs.
The high RSI once reached above 70 and has since retraced, indicating that short-term bullish momentum is being released.
📌 Volume Changes:
The surge phase was accompanied by significant increased volume, consistent with the upward logic;
Currently, during the consolidation process, volume has significantly shrunk, reflecting the market's short-term wait-and-see sentiment.
III. Key Support and Resistance Levels
Short-term Support: $92,800 (Local Consolidation Support)
Core Support: $90,000 (Key Support Level of Upward Trend)
Short-term Resistance: $95,000~$95,500 (Dense Resistance Area)
Potential Target Above: $98,000~$100,000 (If it breaks above $95,500, a surge is likely)
IV. Structure and Price-Volume Relationship Analysis
The current trend is a standard upward continuation pattern; if the high-level consolidation can be maintained, there is still potential for further highs;
If it breaks below $92,800 after consolidation, there is a risk of a pullback to $90,000 in the short term;
Overall, the volume is generally in line; if there is increased volume in future upward movements, a new round of upward trend can be confirmed.
V. Comprehensive Judgment
✅ The long-term upward trend of BTC has not been broken; it is currently only a short-term oscillation correction.
✅ If the $94,000 support holds effectively and can re-increase in volume to attack, it is highly likely to continue challenging $95,500 or even higher;
✅ If it breaks below $92,800, there is a need to guard against a deepening short-term pullback, with the possibility of falling to $90,000 or even $88,000 increasing.
⚡ Strategy Suggestion: It is not advisable to chase highs in the short term; conservative traders can wait for a pullback to support before positioning; aggressive traders may try to sell high and buy low with a small position but must set strict stop-loss levels.