VINE Musk concept, currently valued at 36 million, with a high probability of reaching at least 100 million, the odds are very high

Coin price: $VINE was announced by the founder on January 23, and on the same day, the market cap rapidly rose from 30,000 to 540 million, an increase of 18,000 times;

It then corrected to a market cap of 100 million, and after going live on Binance, it surged again to a market cap of 440 million, an increase of 440%

As the MEME market cooled down, it declined to 22 million by March 28, with Musk promoting a potential restart of #VINE, driving a new increase to 56 million market cap, an increase of 154%

It began to oscillate around a market cap of 28 to 30 million

Concept: Musk concept, TikTok short video concept

Commentary: 1. Will it restart? I believe there is an 85% or more chance of a restart,

Old Musk has mentioned VINE multiple times and initiated votes; from Musk's perspective, repeatedly mentioning not doing it is meaningless to him, just consuming credit and expectations.

At the same time, short videos are the trend, Musk knows this; Americans lack their own TikTok, X needs to integrate VINE in addition to text, bringing in more creators and followers, which is good for X and for Americans.

If TikTok is removed from the U.S. in 75 days, it will directly go live on X.

2. If it restarts, what will the market cap look like? Looking at the coin price and examining the weekly chart, it is clear that it has been building a bottom around 20 to 30 million for a month, with strong whales accumulating positions. The most reasonable buying space is in the market cap accumulation zone above.

If VINE restarts, the market cap will at least establish a bottom at 100 million, with a potential 3 times bottom, it could surge to 400 million, a 10 times bottom. Judging by the odds, the probability of buying is very high, coupled with the decent trading volume from Binance contracts, if X goes live, Binance will naturally open VINE spot trading pairs. In a bull market, we could see a market cap of 1 billion, a 30 times bottom.