1. Technical patterns and nearest targets
- Formation of 'inverted head and shoulders': This bullish pattern, identified in April 2025, indicates a possible breakout at the $2.20 level with a target of reaching $3.14 in the coming weeks.
- Resistance levels: Overcoming the $2.45–2.50 zone may accelerate growth, especially with trading volume support. For example, in April 2025, XRP already showed recovery to $2.34 after correction.
2. Regulatory and institutional drivers
- Resolution of legal disputes: The conclusion of the SEC vs Ripple case in 2023 and the withdrawal of the lawsuit in January 2025 reduced legal risks, restoring trust among major players.
- Integration of RLUSD: The launch of the Ripple USD (RLUSD) stablecoin, approved by NYDFS, strengthened the ecosystem, positively impacting the demand for XRP.
- Institutional interest: Applications for XRP-ETF by WisdomTree and Bitwise open access for traditional investors, which may trigger growth by the end of 2025.
3. Market conditions and macro trends
- Recovery after correction: After a 52% drop to $1.61 in April 2025, XRP stabilized, creating a foundation for a new rally.
- Bullish trend in Bitcoin: The update of Bitcoin's historical highs above $93,000 supports altcoins, including XRP.
4. Analyst forecasts
- Short-term targets: According to CoinCodex and Changelly, by the end of 2025, XRP could reach $3.51–4.78, and in case of breaking key levels — $5.59.
- Long-term prospects: Standard Chartered forecasts growth to $24 by 2028, while AI models suggest $11 by 2030.
5. Risks and limitations
- Volatility: Even with the current price of $2.29, XRP maintains a volatility of 4.48%, which requires caution.
- Macroeconomic factors: Inflation, regulatory changes, and global crises can slow growth. For example, analyst Peter Brandt predicts a possible decline to $1.02–1.98 by the end of 2025.
When to expect growth?
Most likely, significant growth of XRP will begin in the second half of 2025, especially after:
1. Breakout level $2.50 with confirmation of bullish patterns.
2. Approval of XRP-ETF, which will attract institutional capital.
3. Expansion of RippleNet partnerships with banks and payment systems.
Current technical indicators (RSI 63.39, MACD above the signal line) and fundamental improvements create favorable conditions for growth, but success depends on macro stability and regulatory clarity.