Countdown to a Deep Correction! Everyone, be prepared for a pullback!
Currently, there is strong resistance around $95,800~$96,000! Be careful of pullbacks after highs!
In the world of cryptocurrencies, market sentiment is always as volatile as a roller coaster. Recently, BTC's performance has sparked countless discussions and speculations among investors. Some say this is the beginning of a bull market; others worry that a significant drop may be quietly approaching. As an analyst who has been closely following the market, I must remind everyone: a significant drop in BTC may indeed be inevitable, but before this storm arrives, the market's 'illusions' may cause people to lose their direction.
1. A true bull market will not only feature BTC dancing alone.
Many people believe that as long as the price of BTC rises, it means a bull market has arrived. However, is the true bull market really just BTC's 'solo performance'? Let's review the past history. In previous bull markets, not only BTC but also other cryptocurrencies exhibited explosive growth. For example, during last November's surge, countless altcoins achieved multiple times their increases. However, the current market presents a strange phenomenon: BTC has risen from $74,000 to $95,000, an increase of $21,000, but other altcoins have only seen slight increases, and some are even stagnant. Is this what we call a bull market? Clearly not! This one-sided rise seems more like manipulators preparing for a subsequent plunge rather than a true bull market signal.
2. The 'Conspiracy' Behind the Good News
Recently, various good news has frequently emerged in the market, such as the easing of tariff policies and expectations of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve. These messages seem to support the rise of BTC. However, have we ever considered why these good news always appear when BTC prices are high? Isn't this a means to induce investors to take over? Looking back, when BTC was near $74,000, the market was filled with completely different news: Trump threatened to raise global tariffs, Powell's speech was ambiguous, and U.S. stocks were plummeting. At that time, the market was flooded with negative news, but now, when BTC prices are already high, good news follows one after another. Is this merely a coincidence? Clearly not! What lies behind it may be the manipulators trying to entice investors to buy at high prices, thereby creating conditions for a subsequent plunge.
3. The rise without correction hides huge risks.
From $74,000 to $95,000, this round of BTC's rise has almost no significant correction; it has almost shot up in one breath. However, in the current macroeconomic environment, this rising pattern seems very suspicious. Although there are expectations of interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, they have not yet materialized; meanwhile, Japan shows signs of raising interest rates. In this case, the market has not increased liquidity, yet BTC can achieve such a large increase, which clearly defies logic. With so many trapped positions above, is the manipulator's goal to raise prices to allow trapped investors to break even and then take all retail investors up together? Clearly not! The real purpose of the manipulator is to attract more investors to buy at high prices, and then unload during the subsequent plunge. This rise without correction actually hides huge risks, and investors must remain vigilant.
4. A deep plunge before the bull market is an inevitable law of the market.
Looking back at history, every bull market arrives after a deep plunge. The purpose of this plunge is to clear out trapped positions and retail investors in the market, making it 'cleaner'. In the last bull market, BTC only began to surge significantly after being cut in half. This time, the market seems to be following the same pattern. Currently, BTC has not experienced a significant correction, nor has there been a 'spike' (a rapid price drop), and it has not been halved. In this situation, we have reason to believe that a true plunge may still be ahead. This plunge will be the last 'baptism' before the bull market arrives. Investors must not be misled by short-term slight increases and ignore the risks of the larger trend.
Conclusion: Stay alert and embrace the market's baptism.
Finally, I want to remind everyone: Short-term increases will not change the significant drops of the larger trend. Although BTC may continue to rise in the short term, this does not mean the market has entered a bull market. On the contrary, this rise is more like the calm before the storm, as manipulators prepare for the subsequent plunge. Investors must keep a clear mind and not be deceived by the market's 'illusions'. Only after a significant drop can we truly welcome the arrival of the bull market. Therefore, do not rush to enter the market; patiently waiting for the market's baptism may be the wisest choice.
In the world of cryptocurrencies, the market is always full of uncertainty and risk. But as long as we remain calm and carefully analyze market trends and patterns, we can find our opportunities amidst the storm. I hope this article helps everyone better understand the current market situation and make wiser investment decisions.
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