If we look at the bull and bear phases, we are currently in the mid to late stage of the fourth round bull market in the crypto space!
The first half of the bull market was around the time of the BTC halving! After the first half of the bull market ends, the next 6 months are generally a slow washout and adjustment period. The last 2 months are a sharp surge, and the final 2 months are a decline after reaching a peak until the bear market begins.
This round of the bull market started in October 2023, so it is said that we are currently in a bull market interruption.
There is roughly another 6 months left in the bull market, and the real explosive period has not yet arrived.
The explosive period should be around August to October; it is expected to end around December 2025!
This is merely a viewpoint derived from our community based on historical trends and is for reference only.
The recent adjustment and rebound of altcoins show significant differentiation in rises and falls:
Highly strong coins: those that have recovered half of their declines, such as SUI, TAO, BNB, PENDLE, IP
Moderately strong coins: those that have returned to their mid-March prices, such as BGB, ADA, FET, AAVE, LINK, ONDO, TWT, ENS
Extremely weak coins: those that have not rebounded at all, such as AEVO, ACT, STRK, BOME, MASK
Based on this simple judgment logic, select the strong coins you prefer.
Remember, focus on the strong, not the weak. The strong will remain strong; by concentrating your valuable funds, energy, and time on strong coins, you can more easily achieve the results you desire!
The crypto market will not always rise, nor will it always fall; this market develops quickly, and it must rise rapidly to catch up with the market value of gold.
Thus, it has a 4-year cycle, and the true explosion is completed in 3-4 months, meaning you wait 4 years just for those 3-4 months; if you miss those 3-4 months, your profits will vanish, and you may even incur losses!
The crypto space must also experience sharp declines to weed out scams, junk projects, and speculators. The crypto space emphasizes efficiency; it was born to change the efficiency of finance!
When the bear market begins, aside from BTC, you should hold onto it without moving, but you should not retain other assets. The only asset that truly crosses cycles may be BTC; others might just be accompanying runners.
Be patient and wait for the arrival of a violent bull market.
If you have already allocated to leading value projects, you should have confidence in your positions; minor adjustments are fine, but try not to touch large positions.
The rest is about moving bricks 🧱, managing cash flow, and for those who need to invest regularly, prepare your bullets for the opportunity to bottom out!
