I believe that the remaining time before the interest rate cut in June will fluctuate broadly in the range of 80,000 to 100,000. After the interest rate cut in June, it will break through the previous high and reach around 120,000. There will be a significant correction in May, likely dropping to 90,000 or even below 85,000, which will be the last opportunity to buy the dip. After the correction, it will quickly rebound and start a significant bull market trend, likely reaching around 150,000 by July 2025. In August, it will start to correct down to the 100,000 range, and will consolidate until September, when the final round of increases will start. In October, it will rise to around 200,000 and peak, marking the end of the entire bull market cycle. I believe that due to the policies of the Americans, the probability of the next cycle's bull market dropping below 50,000 is very low.
The performance of ETH in this cycle is too weak. I hold some Ethereum and did not expect it to lag behind BTC. After the interest rate cut, the subsequent performance of ETH will be similar to BTC, with the peak occurring a few days later than Bitcoin. It will peak at 8,000 in October 2025, with the overall trend linked to Bitcoin.
Strong altcoins will not drop below the correction level from March and will continue to break upward, while weak altcoins will still create new lows during BTC corrections. Attention can be paid to several sectors of altcoins: AI, meme, L1, and RWA; these sectors of altcoins are likely to be the main targets for speculation.
In September 2025, if Bitcoin shows a mid-term peak signal, besides BTC, I will liquidate all altcoins, including ETH, and convert everything into Bitcoin, or allocate a small portion to buy strong coins that correlate with BTC and some local hot altcoins. I suggest that friends sell and cash out half, leaving the other half to prepare for the next trend.
