• Reject high frequency of operations (more than 3 times a day = must lose control)
• Position ≤ 50% (keep reserves for replenishment in case of shocks)
• Example: in 2024 ETH, drop, 5% position for short selling, profit 30 times in 3 hours
2. Good news is bad news: quickly run away, great good news = warning of a peak!
• Policy/projects - if not sold on the day of publication, there must be a sell at the opening the next day!
• Watch out for "reality becoming a scythe"
3. Information and holidays: plan ahead, check the calendar!
• 10th day of each month (CPI data day in the USA) - always reduce positions
• 48 hours before Chinese New Year/American Thanksgiving, empty contracts! Extreme case: day of the FTX collapse in 2023, rates for full positions exceed 90%
4. Medium-long term: light guerrilla wars
"5% position to conquer the world"
• Set stop-loss 5% below support level (protects against false breakout)
• Set stop-loss at 50% (reject greed)
My portfolio: BTC position is only 3%, but annual return exceeds 90% of large investors
5. Key to short-term: fast, precise, brutal + philosophy of no position
Today "15-minute chart + KDJ crossover = best area to act"
• Compliance indicators: RSI > 70 sell short, < 30 buy long (against human nature)
• During consolidation no position - this is the highest discipline (when daily average volatility < 2%, turn off the computer for safety)
6. Volatility rules: slow growth, rapid decline
"Growth like a snail, decline like an avalanche!"
• Slow growth: correction must break previous lows (signal for short selling)
• Rapid decline: rebound does not exceed previous highs
Example of a sudden drop in SOL in January 2025: 40% drop in 1 hour, rebound lasted only 18 minutes