#特朗普暂停新关税

🔥 What is the impact of #特朗普暂停新关税 on the cryptocurrency market? Could $BTC be the biggest winner?

📌 Event Brief:

Trump announces suspension of new tariff plans against China, global risky assets rise in response, and Bitcoin ($BTC) surges 3% in the short term, breaking through the $63,000 mark. This policy shift releases three key signals:

🌍 Macro Impact Analysis:

1️⃣ Risk appetite rebounds: Easing trade tensions reduce market demand for safe-haven assets, but $BTC demonstrates a dual characteristic of "risk-averse + high-risk," potentially accelerating capital inflow.

2️⃣ Dollar liquidity expectations: The suspension of tariffs may alleviate inflation pressure, increasing the probability of a Fed rate cut to 72% (CME data); history shows that $BTC averages a 217% increase during rate-cut cycles.

3️⃣ China-U.S. capital flow: Chinese companies may use cryptocurrency channels to bypass potential capital controls, with the USDT over-the-counter premium rate rising to 1.2%.

📊 On-chain data verification:

- In the past 24 hours, "large transfers over $100,000" surged by 40%.

- Binance's $BTC perpetual contract funding rate turned positive (0.015%), indicating a recovery in bullish sentiment.

💡 Operation Advice:

If $BTC stabilizes above $63,500, the short-term target looks at $65,800 (previous high Fibonacci 38.2% retracement level).

Will Trump's policies drive cryptocurrency into a new bull market?

#Bitcoin #MacroPolicy #CryptoMarket