The principle is very simple.
At a gambling table with 10 people, some are the dealer, some are cheating, some are using X-ray glasses, some are observing trends, some are creating trends, some are consulting experts, and some are spending money to buy insider information. No matter what means you use, is there a way for all 10 people to make money?
If someone makes a lot of money, it must be that most people are losing money, right?
How to make money? It’s very simple: let others lose money. If others don’t lose money, you can’t make money. It’s that simple.
If everyone is not making money, naturally no one loses money. Then in this market, would you still want to play? Would manipulators still want to continue? Such a lifeless market, even platforms would not want to continue operating.
The stock market has dropped!!! The cryptocurrency market has crashed!!! It’s not a new thing. Remember, it’s a normal phenomenon. If no one loses money, how can I make money?
As for the question posed by the questioner: Why can't most people hold on? I think I can analyze this, but it's not important. If you're playing this game, remember, it’s a good thing when someone loses money. The more tragic the loss, the better. If most people don't sell during a bear market, what would happen? The only result is that a bull market will not come.
When will the bull market return? There is no date, only one sign: most of the people who lost money have sold off.
Here are a few market phenomena that everyone may not know:
Whether it's the stock market or the cryptocurrency market, or any other similar market, the fluctuations in prices are fundamentally driven by market manipulators. Of course, these manipulators will combine the overall market trends, policies, news, company performance, and so on to either push prices up or crash them, rather than just operating with capital alone. If a stock, a cryptocurrency, or even a market has no manipulator, it will be lifeless, with no trading volume and no dramatic price swings. Such a market is something retail investors do not wish to see. If a company performs well, its stock should rise; this is a potential stock, and it should go up, which actually makes no sense at all.
People buy and sell stocks, 99% of the time to make a profit from price differences; very few do it for annual stock dividends. The meager returns from dividends are not appealing to investors. So even if a stock is terrible, if it can skyrocket, then it can make big money. Would you buy it? In fact, the connection between a company's performance and its stock price is a long-term brainwashing strategy by manipulators against retail investors, akin to feeding pigs when they hear a whistle, forming a habitual way of thinking. Then, by responding to good and bad news, they can push prices up or crash them; otherwise, just pure capital manipulation may not be able to move prices. At this time, once a piece of news is released, investors have been trained to act like pigs responding to a whistle, cooperating with manipulators to follow trends and sell off, allowing manipulators to move stocks with very little capital.
Manipulators can grasp the distribution of funds in the market, how many buy orders there are, how many sell orders there are, and the distribution of buy and sell orders, while retail investors can only rely on publicly available data. Many retail investors may not even know how to read this data. For unregulated markets, this can even allow real-time monitoring of user operations. Many people say that the price drops to or rises to their liquidation point, as if waiting to explode their positions. That's right; as mentioned earlier, most of the market trading volume is generated by the manipulators themselves. In extreme cases, only a small number of retail investors are really playing, so manipulators aim to blow up your positions. In such situations, how can you profit by analyzing historical trends, market conditions, and company performance? Is there any technology involved? Absolutely not. Why can’t most retail investors hold on?
Besides human nature and the way manipulators cultivate the thinking of retail investors, spreading news and controlling market sentiment, there is a more decisive reason: manipulators hold the initiative. If you don't sell, I won’t push up the price; I’ll just wait. Manipulators know the chips in retail investors' hands, but retail investors do not know the chips of the manipulators. No matter how determined retail investors are, they cannot outlast the manipulators; there will always be someone gradually selling off. Only when the manipulators have received enough chips to reach their target will they start pushing prices up.
The market is very complex, but the points mentioned above are common phenomena.
Many people will tell you not to chase high prices and not to sell during a drop. However, it is of no use. As mentioned above, the initiative is in the hands of the manipulators. You don't know when the bottom is, and there's no real bottom, or rather, the so-called bottom is not a specific value but a proportion of how many retail investors cannot hold on. Once this proportion is reached, there's no need to crash further. So, if that's the case, if everyone sells, should I not sell? Will that work?
The problem is, you don't know if others are selling. Manipulators know much more than you do, and you cannot accurately predict the behavior of other retail investors. You think it’s already low, probably the bottom, so you hold on. Perhaps other retail investors think the same? When manipulators see this situation, they naturally will sell harder. The same goes for when prices rise; if the price has doubled, would you sell? If you sell, manipulators might push it to ten times, and then you would regret it. If you buy back, the market starts to crash again.
So, if you don’t want to be manipulated by the manipulators, there is only one way, but this way is something that most retail investors will never follow. This way is—do not do short-term trading; buy and ignore whether you’re losing or making money, just hold on. This applies to Bitcoin, stocks, or other altcoins; holding on could mean it may go to zero or take ages.
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