Can Bitcoin really reach 1 million dollars? Ark Invest's latest prediction has ignited the community! Let me break down the underlying logic and operational strategies #币安Alpha积分
ARK (Cathie Wood) is back at it again, predicting Bitcoin will reach 1.5 million dollars by 2030. But take a closer look—her own fund holds less than 5% in Bitcoin, urging you to go all in while keeping a safety net for herself.
What tricks are institutions playing?
ETF is crazily attracting capital: Big institutions like BlackRock and Fidelity bought 2.65 billion dollars worth of Bitcoin in just 7 days, while Grayscale sold 3.7 billion dollars, obviously transferring assets from one hand to the other to pump the price.
Miners are struggling: They can only mine 450 Bitcoins a day, not enough to satisfy Wall Street's demands. But miners can't even pay their electricity bills, with hash rates plummeting by 18%, and they could dump to cash at any moment.
Countries are secretly entering the market: Sweden and Japan are quietly buying Bitcoin as foreign exchange reserves, and some states in the U.S. allow taxes to be paid in BTC.
But don't think countries are saviors—they'll buy in at low prices and then cut retail investors off in no time.
Three pitfalls of reaching 1.5 million dollars:
Technical bottlenecks: Bitcoin transfers are incredibly slow, and gas fees are outrageously high. If institutions really want to run, the chain could collapse at any moment, and you won't have time to cancel your orders.
Halving trap: In the past three halvings, there was a huge price surge, but this time miners are only selling 450 coins a day while Wall Street is swallowing over 3,000 coins.
If ETF funds stop flowing (for example, a single-day outflow of 890 million dollars), it could lead to a flash crash.
Gold's rebuttal: Bitcoin's market cap is less than 1/10th of gold's; to reach 1.5 million dollars, it would need to increase 50 times. However, the gold market has 8 times more ETF funds than BTC, so why would they take on your losses?
Retail survival strategies:
Follow BlackRock closely: If they are buying over 300 million dollars daily, you follow suit; if there’s an outflow of over 500 million dollars for three consecutive days, run.
Ambush ecological coins: When Bitcoin truly takes off, L2 and RWA (real-world asset tokens) can increase 70 times. But don’t buy recklessly now; wait until BTC stabilizes at 100,000 dollars before making a move.
Don't let institutions' million-dollar predictions fool you.
Remember three things:
When institutions are bullish, they might be offloading; if it drops by 50%, don't panic; if it rises by 50%, don’t get greedy. In a bull market, profit relies on holding tightly; in a bear market, profit relies on acting dead #币安HODLer空投SIGN
