#RAYSOLUSDT Risky Trade
**Analysis and Trading Plan for RAYSOL/USDT (2025 Data)**
### **Key Observations**
1. **Price Action**:
- Current price hovering near **2.9168**, with a strong uptrend (+9.6–9.78%) but showing overbought signals (RSI(6) >77).
- **24h Range**: **2.6134 (Low)** to **2.9935 (High)**.
- Bollinger Bands indicate resistance at **2.9789–3.0376** and support at **2.8453–2.6134**.
2. **Indicators**:
- **RSI**: Overbought on shorter timeframes (RSI(6) >77), neutral on others (RSI ~60-62).
- **MACD**: Mixed signals (positive in 15m/1h charts, negative in 4h).
- **Volume**: High trading activity, suggesting volatility.
---
### **Trading Strategy**
#### **Entry Range**:
- **Long Entry**: **2.85–2.88** (aligns with lower Bollinger Band & consolidation support).
- **Aggressive Entry**: Break above **2.95** (confirms bullish continuation).
#### **Stop Loss**:
- **Conservative**: **2.83** (below immediate support from Bollinger Band).
- **Aggressive**: **2.80** (if volatility tolerance is higher).
#### **Leverage**:
- **3–5x** (moderate to account for volatility and avoid liquidation).
#### **Take Profit Targets**:
1. **TP1**: **2.95** (partial profit near recent resistance).
2. **TP2**: **2.9935** (24h high, key resistance).
3. **TP3**: **3.04** (upper Bollinger Band extension).
---
### **Risk Management**:
- **Risk-Reward Ratio**: Minimum 1:2 (e.g., 1% risk for 2% reward).
- **Adjustments**: Tighten stop loss to breakeven if price reaches **TP1**.
### **Notes**:
- Monitor MACD/RSI for divergence. A bearish crossover on 4h charts could invalidate the long setup.
- If price breaks below **2.80**, consider short opportunities targeting **2.65–2.61** (24h low).
**Summary**:
**Entry**: 2.85–2.88 (Long) / 2.95 Breakout (Confirmation)
**Stop Loss**: 2.83 (Conservative) / 2.80 (Aggressive)
**Leverage**: 3–5x
**Take Profit**: 2.95 → 2.9935 → 3.04**
