Is short-term trading a risky high-reward endeavor, or is it really just dancing on the edge of a knife? Is long-term investing truly the path to effortless profits?
Short-term trading is the 'gambler's carnival,' while long-term investing is the rose of time.
If you can't even grasp the basics of position management in short-term trading, it's no different from gambling in Macau.
Three hard thresholds lock out 90% of players:
You must understand the 'divergence signals' from the 15-minute K-line and the movements of on-chain whales. Optical MACD golden crosses and death crosses? The market makers will illustrate it for you in a heartbeat.
If you can calmly review after a liquidation at 3 AM, earning 50% without getting euphoric, and losing 20% without panicking, I've seen too many people go all-in back to zero after making 100,000.
Single position ≤1% of capital + dynamic stop loss; if you try it 10 times and get it right 9 times, one time without a stop loss can wipe out 80% of your capital.
The amount of funds is the 'death line.'
For small funds of 500-1000U: short-term win rate 45%, annual return volatility ±30% for over 10,000 U.
For large funds: win rate plummets to 28%, 72% of people face liquidation within 3 months (fees + slippage can consume 20% of capital).
I once faced liquidation during a BTC spike, losing 300U in tuition.
I also made 50% from altcoin volatility, but lost 20% due to greed in holding positions.
Short-term windfall profits are 'survivorship bias.' Always make basic common sense judgments; technical experience and market feel are crucial, and news can also serve as a reference.
Trading contracts is all about position management, margin allocation, moving stop losses, and choosing exchanges based on your strategy. Otherwise, 99% of people are just running alongside.
Long-term investing: the boring but effective 'lying flat to get rich' method.
Do not chase historical highs.
Do not attempt to bottom-fish halfway up.
Do not stare at the market.
Asset selection: only invest in 'BTC + ETH + leading ecosystems' (for example, regularly invest in SOL in 2024, with a 300% increase in a year).
Profit-taking strategy: sell in batches at the peak of a bull market (when BTC's market cap ratio < 40%, take profits in 3 batches of 25% each).
For short-term trading, use 20% of your capital for practice on a simulated account, and 80% for regular investments in mainstream coins (if you survive for 3 years, you will have outlasted 80% of people).
Replace the desire for 'short-term riches' with 'long-term regular investment,' and use the time spent watching the market to enhance your understanding—three years from now, you’ll thank today’s 'boring choice.' After all, in this 24/7 market, 'staying alive' is 100 times more important than 'making quick money.'
Detailed strategy teaching point @Angel
Come
