#比特币市值排名 Bitcoin's Ultimate Fatalism: Countdown to the Burst of 136,000 Bubble】 A Bull-Bear Game from the Perspective of Wave Theory $BTC
Fatalism Cycle Trio#比特币市值排名
Cycle Law Iron Rule:
Federal Reserve's interest rate policy has not shifted → Liquidity trap continues → Above 94,000 is all a liquidity illusion
(Historical data: During the 2018 interest rate hike cycle, BTC plummeted 73% from 61,000 to 16,000)
Chip Black Hole Effect:
Above 100,000, the locked positions reach ⚡️187,000 BTC (Unresolved positions at the peak of the 2021 bull market)
Major players need to create panic selling → Use a 3-month cycle to digest the pressure above
Tsunami Warning Mechanism:
Current market leverage ratio is 1.7 times → Reaches historical warning line (1.6 times before the liquidation wave in 2022)
(Technical signal: If RSI monthly line > 70 for 3 consecutive months → Must trigger mean reversion)