Wall Streetâs pivot on the U.S. market: warns of a âsell Americaâ trade
U.S. President Donald Trumpâs heightened pressure campaign on Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell on Monday caused a significant drop in financial markets to kick off the week. The sell-off also sparked a broader debate about the role of âsafe-havenâ assets in the wake of global and economic uncertainty.
Trump called Powell a âmajor loserâ and warned that the U.S. economy could slow down unless interest rates are lowered immediately. He wrote on Truth Social that ââPreemptive Cutsâ in Interest Rates are being called for by many.â
Financial market drops amid Trumpâs attack on Powell
US stocks and dollar sink as Trump renews attacks on Fed chair Powell
Currency sell-off intensifies after president steps up criticism of central bank head for not cutting rates
â Ajay Bagga (@Ajay_Bagga) April 22, 2025
The President argued that there is currently âvirtually No Inflationâ in the U.S. and that costs for energy and âmost other thingsâ are on the decline. Trump also added that, with costs trending downward just like he predicted they would do, there can almost be no inflation, âbut there can be a SLOWING of the economy unless Mr. Too Late, a major loser, lowers interest rates, NOW.â
Trumpâs latest remarks raised questions in his administration about whether they can legally fire the Fed Chair before his term expires in May 2026.
Risk-off investments, including long-term bonds and the U.S. dollar, which are considered historical hedges against volatility, aggressively sold off yesterday, parallel to the sharp drop in the stock market. The dollar (DX-Y.NYB) plummeted to its lowest since 2022, while the 10-year yield (^TNX) rose back above 4.4%.
The 10-year yield continued to trade around 4.4% on Tuesday while the U.S. dollar index dropped below the 100 level, which is a key psychological and technical level. The markets showed unusual developments because they appeared to pull back instead of investors moving to safe havens like bonds or U.S. currencies.Â
Wall Street warns of a âsell Americaâ trade
A rare âSELL AMERICAâ moment is unfolding.
For the first time since 1981, the US dollar index is down over 5%, the S&P 500 is off more than 5%, and 10-year Treasury yields have climbed 10bpsâall in just a month. That combo hasnât hit since the double-dip recession days. pic.twitter.com/tkB07G4o8T
â Wall St Engine (@wallstengine) April 21, 2025
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The unusual market development depicts a rare dislocation Wall Street strategists have dubbed the âsell Americaâ trade. The chaotic market dynamics have raised concerns over stagflation, where growth stalls, inflation persists, and unemployment rises, keeping Wall Street on edge that shifting trade dynamics could induce a self-inflicted recession.
Wall Street saw investors move into commodities like gold, which rallied to yet another record on Tuesday, reaching $3,500 per ounce of gold. Investors also rushed to speculative positions such as Bitcoin, which traded near $91,000 for the first time since February.
Fears of political interference in monetary policy might have triggered Mondayâs sharp decline, but the exact catalyst remains unclear amid pressure from tariffs, slowing growth, and escalating geopolitical tensions.
âThis is not a good spot to be in in terms of narrative. No oneâs betting against America, but no oneâs saying, âOh, we should be going all in over there right now, either.â
-Ann Berry, founder of Threadneedle Ventures.
JPMorgan also noted that U.S. equity ETFs realized net outflows of $3.6 billion last week, while developed international markets saw above-average inflows totaling $3 billion. The financial institution acknowledged that it was a notable shift given how heavily U.S. markets rely on foreign capital.
Chief market strategist at Ritholtz Wealth Management, Callie Cox, maintained that foreign investors own nearly a third of U.S. equities and more than a quarter of U.S. government debt. Cox noted that âWall Street is Americaâs secret weapon of global dominance.â
She also argued that itâs because the U.S. has innovative companies, strong institutions, and a stable rule of law. âEvery one of those factors has been called into question lately,â Cox added.
Micheal Goosay, chief investment officer of global fixed income at Principal Asset Management, believes that international investors who are supporters of the U.S. Treasury market âare getting a little nervous.â He argued that, whether itâs related to government uncertainty and policy uncertainty or growth and inflation uncertainty, it was undermining some of the confidence they have.
In the wake of economic uncertainty, some argue about the long-term prospects of safe havens. Kevin Khang, senior economist at Vanguard, puts it âAt the minimum, this reminds all of us that the world is watching whether the U.S. is going to continue its role as a provider [of] stability.â
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