Our community still feels that the current market situation is more like 'a seductive rebound during a decline'. What do you think, comrades?

Don't expect the market to crash all at once; it is more likely to first have a seemingly hopeful rebound, tricking in the weak hands, before harvesting again.

Taking ETH as an example, many people previously sold off in the range of 1,900 to 1,700. If this market is really going to crash to such low levels as 1,000 dollars, big capital would not just crash it down directly. They might first push it up a bit to make you feel like 'the opportunity has come', and once you rush in to buy, they will slowly short it from above, making the harvest more thorough and efficient.

Why does our community feel that this round hasn't hit the bottom yet?

It's very simple; there are still many retail investors in the square shouting that the imitation bull market is coming, and they are confidently trying to buy at the bottom.

The real bottom is that state where most people dare not touch, dare not buy, and are even numb. As long as there are still people in the market fantasizing about a rebound to get rich, it means there is still some way to go before the true bottom.

In the short term, the market may continue to rebound, with BTC rebounding to around 96,000, but let's be clear: this is the 'top' of the rebound, not the beginning of a bull market!

But I still hold a 40% position; our community believes that even if the market drops below 70,000, the bull market is still not over; it’s just a matter of how much BTC adjusts.

This round of adjustment's real bottom needs to wait for Bitcoin to complete its adjustment. If BTC falls to the range of 74,000 or even 68,000 later, that will be the time we consider buying altcoins at the bottom.

Even if BTC rises to 98,000, there is a high probability that it will face a significant drop starting with 7! If BTC does not drop to 70,000, the bull market script cannot continue at all! Right now, there is simply no condition for a large increase all at once.

Neither market sentiment, capital flow, nor news supports this. For BTC to truly start a bull market, the most critical signal is the Federal Reserve lowering interest rates.

But right now, there is still no clear signal regarding the Federal Reserve's interest rate cut stance! So, this current rise is, to put it bluntly, a major rebound; don't take it as a reversal; it's not time to sprint yet!

How many people got stuck in the range from 109,000 to 74,000? The Federal Reserve does not lower interest rates, and big capital cannot enter, leading to insufficient market liquidity.

Relying solely on the existing stock funds and retail investors cannot support a rise above 100,000.

The market makers are not foolish; how could they possibly absorb all the trapped positions all at once and then get trapped themselves, helping the retail investors get out? Who would do such a losing business? It's like pulling a cart; if the load is too heavy, the horse cannot move!

Another important point is that before a big rise, there must be a bloodbath among retail investors. There are still too many people in the vehicle now!

Therefore, there will definitely be a drop beyond everyone's imagination coming up, and there may even be a deep spike situation.

Only by completely scaring off the retail investors, and clearing out those who are following the trend and are not resolute, can we move forward.

Now, do not chase the spot prices! There is still one more chance for a big drop waiting, and this opportunity may cause the BTC price to fall below 70,000 dollars. Altcoins may also hit new lows.

But the second half of the bull market in the second half of 2025 still has to come! The more the U.S. stirs things up, the more opportunities there are for Bitcoin and crypto!

So I am not the least bit anxious; everything is within expectations. Once the adjustment is over, it won't be a problem to see 4-5 times returns on good imitation targets in the second half, and 5-10 times returns on quality leading targets are reasonable. A 10-30 times return with an explosion is very normal, but then it will depend on how well the targets held by the comrades perform. I won't directly recommend anything, nor am I saying you should follow us to buy the coins we are holding; just do what you think is good!

So now we are still moving bricks, we should focus on cash flow, invest steadily, and wait for the opportunity to buy at the bottom!