AI Is Growing Faster Than Moore’s Law – The Next 10 Years Will Change Everything
A recent chart published by METR (2025) reveals the astonishing pace at which artificial intelligence is evolving—surpassing even Moore’s Law. While Moore’s Law predicted computing power would double every 18–24 months, AI capabilities are now doubling every 4 months.
The chart measures how long AI systems can consistently perform tasks. Early models like GPT-2 and GPT-3 could only handle tasks for a few seconds. But recent models—such as Sonnet 3.7, o3, and o4-mini—can now perform complex tasks for over an hour continuously. This marks a massive leap in AI’s ability to sustain context and handle increasingly sophisticated work.
This isn’t just a tech upgrade—it’s a civilizational shift. Over the next 10 years, we’re going to witness profound changes across industries—jobs, education, communication, and more.
We are living in the most exciting era in human history. The only question is: are we ready for the wave of transformation that’s coming?