đ¨ $BTC Reclaims $90K â DeadâCat Bounce?
Yesterdayâs sharp rally saw Bitcoin crack back above the $90,000 markâbut hereâs why Iâm calling it a classic deadâcat bounce rather than a true breakout:
1. Weak Volume on Rally đ
Todayâs surge (140Â KÂ BTC) barely topped the 5âday average (127Â K) and stayed well below the 10âday average (158Â K).
Low conviction means there arenât enough fresh buyers to sustain a real uptrend.
2. Overbought Signals Everywhere â ď¸
RSI(4Â hr & 1Â hr) > 80 â extreme overbought readings on multiple timeframes.
Price is 2.5Â Ď above the 20Â SMA Bollinger upper bandâstatistically rare and ripe for mean reversion.
3. Liquidity Hunt Completed đąâđ¤
Algos likely triggered stops in the $90.5Kâ91.2K zone, sucking up bids in a shortâsqueeze.
Once those resting orders are gone, thereâs nothing left to push price higher.
4. Macro Headwinds Are Looming đŞ
Fed minutes coming this week (May 15) could drive DXY strength and send risk assets lower.
US payrolls (May 2) and Core PCE (May 30) still on deckâplenty of reasons for volatility.
âď¸ Trade Plan: Short the Bounce
Entry: $91,000â92,200 (after 1Â hr candle closes back inside upper BB)
StopâLoss: $93,000 - 94000(invalidation above liquidity cluster)
TPÂ 1: $87,600 (midâband mean)
TPÂ 2: $85,400 (lower BB support)
Leverage: â¤Â 3Ă; scale out 50% at TP 1 and trail to breakeven
đ Key Takeaway: Reclaiming $90K looked impressive, but without volume and with overbought extremes, itâs a textbook deadâcat bounce. Watch for the snapâback toward the midâbandâideal shorting opportunity!